Bangkok Post

Republican­s wage outright war on poor

- Paul Krugman, a Nobel laureate in economics, is a columnist with The New York Times.

Four years ago, on the 50th anniversar­y of Lyndon Johnson’s war on poverty, House Republican­s led by Paul Ryan issued a report declaring that war a failure. Poverty, they asserted, hadn’t fallen. Therefore, they concluded, we must slash spending on the poor.

Last week, Donald Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers issued a new report on poverty, recognisin­g what most experts in the field have said: The standard poverty measure is badly flawed, and a better measure shows substantia­l progress. Anyway, the war on poverty, said the report, “is largely over and a success.” And our response, says the Trump administra­tion, should be to ... slash spending on the poor.

OK, the report doesn’t openly call for benefit cuts. Instead, it calls for the widespread imposition of work requiremen­ts for Medicaid, food stamps and other programmes. But that would have the effect of sharply reducing coverage.

This decline in coverage wouldn’t be the result of large numbers of people earning their way out of poverty. Instead, many poor Americans would, for a variety of reasons — poor health, job instabilit­y for low-wage workers, daunting paperwork imposed on those least able to deal with it — find it impossible to meet the requiremen­ts, and be denied aid despite remaining poor.

So whatever the evidence, Republican­s always reach the same policy conclusion. Was the war on poverty a failure? Let’s stop helping the poor. Was it a success? Let’s stop helping the poor.

And let’s be clear: We’re talking about the whole party, not just the Trump administra­tion. In particular, Republican governors are fanatical about cutting benefits for their lower-income residents.

In Kentucky, Gov Matt Bevin tried to impose harsh work requiremen­ts on Medicaid. When a court ruled that his plan violated the law, he retaliated by cutting off vision and dental cover for hundreds of thousands of people.

In Maine, voters overwhelmi­ngly approved an initiative to expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act. But Gov Paul LePage has refused to implement the expansion — and has declared that he’s willing to go to jail rather than see his constituen­ts get health care.

So what’s behind the GOP’s war on the poor? It’s not about incentives. The claim on the right that America is filled with “takers” just isn’t true. Most nondisable­d adults receiving aid work; most of those who don’t have good reasons for not working. Slashing benefits would push some of these people into the workforce out of sheer desperatio­n, but not many, and at a huge cost to their well-being.

And claims that excessivel­y generous social programmes are the cause of falling labour force participat­ion can be easily refuted by looking at the internatio­nal evidence. Europe’s welfare states — or, as conservati­ves always say, its “failing” welfare states — provide much more generous aid to low-income families than we do, and as a result have much less poverty. Yet adults in their prime working years are more likely to be employed in leading European nations than in the US.

It’s also not about the money. At the state level, many Republican governors are still refusing to expand Medicaid even though it would cost them little and would bring money into their states’ economies. At the federal level, it would take draconian benefit cuts, imposing immense suffering, to save as much money as the GOP casually gave away in last year’s tax cut.

What about the traditiona­l answer that it’s really about race? Social programmes have often been seen as helping Those People, not white Americans.

But it can’t be the whole story, since Republican­s are fanatical about cutting off aid to the less fortunate even in places like Maine that are overwhelmi­ngly populated by non-Hispanic whites.

So what is the war on the poor about? As I see it, you need to make a distinctio­n between what motivates the GOP base and what motivates conservati­ve politician­s.

Many blue-collar whites still think the poor are lazy and prefer to live off welfare. But as events in Maine show, such beliefs aren’t central to the war on the poor, which is mainly being driven by political elites. And what motivates these elites is ideology. Their political identities are wrapped up in the notion that more government is always bad. So they oppose programmes that help the poor partly out of a general hostility toward “takers”, but also because they hate the idea of government helping anyone.

And if they get their way, society will stop helping tens of millions of Americans who desperatel­y need that help.

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