Bangkok Post

WHO BELIEVES THE STATS?

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Re: “Virus tracker”, (BP, March 27).

My father, the late Bundhit Kantabutra, founded Thailand’s National Statistica­l Office and always taught that accurate statistics were the key to effective and efficient solutions. Thus, I was intrigued by an apparent discrepanc­y in official Covid-19 figures: either Thailand’s data are off or we know something that the rest of the world doesn’t.

The Post’s Virus Tracker shows that worldwide, there were 21,297 deaths out of 471,794 infections, or 4.51% mortality (source: www.worldomete­rs.info). This is roughly in line with The New York Times’ 23,895 deaths/522,800 infections, or 4.10% mortality (both publicatio­ns as of March 27).

But Thailand’s mortality rate on the same date was a mere 0.38% (4 deaths/1,045 infections) — despite ours being an ageing society. True, half of our infections were in Bangkok, which is much more medically advanced than the provinces: but we’re not more advanced than the US, which has 1.51% mortality (1,032/68,489).

As the saying goes, “If it sounds too good to be true, it usually is.” What’s going on?

Burin Kantabutra

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