Bangkok Post

US, European companies rethink China strategy

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SHANGHAI/BRUSSELS: US and European businesses are reconsider­ing their investment­s in China after the lockdown in Shanghai and restrictio­ns in other cities caused major disruption to their operations.

The American and European Union chambers of commerce in separate briefings said their members were rethinking their supply chains and whether to expand investment in the face of China’s zero tolerance approach to combating Covid-19.

“The Covid lockdowns this year and the restrictio­ns over the past two years are going to mean that three, four, five years from now, we will most likely see investment decline,” Michael Hart, president of the American Chamber of Commerce in China, said in

Beijing yesterday.

“While this doesn’t mean an immediate shift outside of China, many firms that source from China are asking where else they can get supplies, and whether they should be building or sourcing from somewhere else,’’ he said.

The outlook is shared by European companies. “Many members of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China are putting investment plans on pause and starting to consider whether to leave the country,’’ the business group’s representa­tives said at a briefing Monday.

“Uncertaint­ies about a potential next wave of outbreaks are taking a heavy toll on business confidence,’’ they said.

“Uncertaint­y is really the keyword, because there’s no view, no outlook about how long this could last, and what will be next after Shanghai,” said Massimo Bagnasco, vice president of the chamber.

Profits of foreign firms in China are falling, and companies have become increasing­ly vocal about the impact on their businesses from Covid lockdowns and restrictio­ns.

Earlier this month, more than half of US firms said they were reducing or delaying investment plans and expected lower revenue due to the economic fallout from extended lockdowns, which have clogged the world’s biggest port, closed highways and shuttered factories and businesses.

And last week, respondent­s to a survey by the German Chamber of Commerce in China reported that nearly 30% of their foreign employees had plans to leave China because of Covid.

The chamber surveyed 460 companies.

The restrictio­ns that began in March in Shanghai and elsewhere come on top of existing travel controls, which have made it hard for employees of foreign firms to travel to China or visit headquarte­rs overseas.

The travel restrictio­ns have left AmCham “very concerned” about US and other foreign investment into China, Hart said at a press conference to launch the chamber’s 2022 White Paper.

“China usually ranks among the top three destinatio­ns for investment among AmCham’s member companies, but it is falling in preference,” he said, adding that “if people can’t travel to the country, it will decline as an investment destinatio­n.”

Political pressure is also building on US companies to reduce their reliance on China.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen yesterday called on the US and Europe to coordinate their approach toward China, saying that “they have a common interest in incentivis­ing China to refrain from economic practices that have disadvanta­ged us all.”

“We have become too vulnerable to countries using their market positions in raw materials, technologi­es, or products to exercise geopolitic­al leverage or disrupt markets for their own gain,” she said during a speech in Brussels.

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