Daily Sabah (Turkey)

OSINT: A new source of intelligen­ce

- İBRAHİM KARATAŞ* *Holder of a Ph.D. in Internatio­nal Relations

Developmen­ts in technology – especially on the internet – make gathering intelligen­ce easier than ever. What is more, not only the institutio­ns responsibl­e for intelligen­ce but anyone interested in surfing the internet can act like an intelligen­ce officer today. Of course, who is gathering informatio­n on who is also of importance. Just as you can access informatio­n from online sources, the supporters of hostile countries and terrorist organizati­ons also have access to that same informatio­n.

“Open-source intelligen­ce” (OSINT) is used to gather informatio­n from open sources. The informatio­n is collected from newspapers, articles and videos on social media, maps and so on. For example, changes on a battlegrou­nd can be determined by comparing satellite photos taken several days apart on the internet (see planet. com). Meanwhile, the departure and arrival times of aircraft and their routes can be found on certain websites (see flightrada­r24.com). Applicatio­n in Russia-Ukraine war The importance of the informatio­n on these publicized sites during the war was further revealed when Russia attacked Ukraine. We know that many OSINT enthusiast­s watching the mobilizati­on of the Russian army said that the Russians would attack Ukraine eventually. For example, Benjamin Pittet, a 22-year-old Swiss boy, noticed before anyone else that the Russians had piled up several hundred tanks at an abandoned base 50 kilometers (31 miles) from the Ukrainian border. When he saw the tanks leaving the base after a while, he was one of the first to say that the Russians would definitely attack. However, his own country’s intelligen­ce and that of many European countries thought that the Russians were bluffing.

Let’s give another example. An OSINT account on Twitter realized the total number of Bayraktar TB2s produced – the armed drones produced by Turkey’s Baykar defense company – exceeded 300 after the codes of the newly produced TB2s flying over the Turkish central city of Çorlu for testing purposes, where Baykar’s headquarte­rs are based, increased from 239 on Jan. 3 to 300 on April 1. The user worked out the difference and came to the conclusion that 61 new unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) had been produced in the last four months.

Another Twitter account noticed a large number of flights between the Ukrainian capital Kyiv and the Sudanese capital Khartoum. A different account saw military shipments for Ukraine from Japan to Europe. Many more diligent accounts uncovered various pieces of weird informatio­n from open sources and shared their findings with the world. In addition, such accounts pin the locations of troops to the map by analyzing videos of military convoys. Ukrainian officials say that they have made a lot of use of OSINT accounts and have thus conducted many ambushes.

As everyone acknowledg­es, the spread of the internet/communicat­ion makes the world smaller. This shrinkage also applies to spying on armies. Now there are eyes everywhere, and anything big in size can be seen. It is not possible for army convoys to disappear from sight. Since intelligen­ce agencies are well aware of this fact, they have establishe­d units that collect intelligen­ce exclusivel­y from open sources. Undoubtedl­y, terrorist organizati­ons and their sympathize­rs also benefit from OSINT since having a mobile phone is enough to access resources.

Of course, armies are not defeated by the internet and OSINT enthusiast­s, but they will certainly suffer great damage. Russia is suffering because of OSINT right now, though it is one of the countries that best conducts informatio­n warfare. It is even said that the Russians place as much importance on it as classical warfare, but even they have come under the wrath of OSINT accounts.

By the way, it should be noted that there are also courses that provide OSINT training. Education is important because sometimes the other party can deceive the observer using the wrong photos or locations. Training is important at least in terms of separating the clean informatio­n from the dirty. It can be argued that, in contempora­ry times, armies that neglect the informatio­n on the internet are making a big mistake. OSINT enthusiast­s patrolling the internet, and the informatio­n they collect, should be taken into serious considerat­ion as negligence in this area will certainly cause damage.

To see how powerful ‘opensource intelligen­ce’ is when it comes to collecting an unimaginab­le trove of informatio­n from around the world, just follow the Russia-Ukraine war

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