Snap­shot: 5G sub­scrip­tions

Could there re­ally be more than a bil­lion 5G sub­scrip­tions in just over five years?

Comms MEA - - Contents -

Could there re­ally be 1.5 bil­lion 5G sub­scrip­tions in just over five years? A new

re­port says yes.

5G is ex­pected to reach more than 40% global pop­u­la­tion cov­er­age and 1.5 bil­lion sub­scrip­tions for en­hanced mo­bile broad­band by the end of 2024. This will make 5G the fastest gen­er­a­tion of cel­lu­lar tech­nol­ogy to be rolled out on a global scale, at least ac­cord­ing to the very lat­est edi­tion of the Eric­s­son Mo­bil­ity Re­port.

Key driv­ers for 5G de­ploy­ment in­clude in­creased net­work ca­pac­ity, lower cost per gi­ga­byte and new use case re­quire­ments.

North Amer­ica and North East Asia are ex­pected to lead the 5G up­take. In North Amer­ica, 5G sub­scrip­tions are fore­cast to ac­count for

55% of mo­bile sub­scrip­tions by the end of 2024. In North East Asia, the cor­re­spond­ing fore­cast fig­ure is more than 43%.

In Western Europe, 5G is fore­cast to ac­count for some 30% of mo­bile sub­scrip­tions in the re­gion by end of 2024.

The up­take of NB-IoT and Cat-M1 tech­nolo­gies is driv­ing growth in the num­ber of cel­lu­lar IoT con­nec­tions world­wide.

Of the 4.1 bil­lion cel­lu­lar IoT con­nec­tions fore­cast for 2024, North East Asia is ex­pected to ac­count for 2.7 bil­lion – a fig­ure re­flect­ing both the am­bi­tion and size of the cel­lu­lar IoT mar­ket in this re­gion.

Di­verse and evolv­ing re­quire­ments across a wide range of use cases are prompt­ing ser­vice providers to de­ploy both NB-IoT and Cat-M1 in their mar­kets.

Mo­bile data traf­fic up 79% be­tween Q3 2017 and Q3 2018 – China a key en­gine

Mo­bile data traf­fic in Q3 2018 grew close to 79% year-on-year, which is the high­est rate since 2013. In­creased data-traf­fic-per-smart­phone in

North East Asia– mainly in China – has pushed the global fig­ure no­tably higher.

With a traf­fic growth per smart­phone of around 140% be­tween end 2017 and end 2018, the re­gion has the sec­ond high­est data traf­fic per smart­phone at 7.3 gi­ga­bytes per month.

This is com­pa­ra­ble to stream­ing HD video for around 10 hours each and ev­ery sin­gle month.

As 5G now hits the mar­ket, its cov­er­age build-out and up­take in sub­scrip­tions are pro­jected to be faster than for pre­vi­ous gen­er­a­tions.”

- Fredrik Je­jdling, ex­ec­u­tive vice pres­i­dent and head of busi­ness area net­works at Eric­s­son

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