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BJP’s hard core is its own enemy

Indian PM Modi and the ruling party’s failure to usher in the promised good days have not only emboldened the opposition, but a stagnating economy is serving as an ideal breeding ground for disaffecti­on

- By Amulya Ganguli ■ Amulya Ganguli is a political analyst.

India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) owes much of its woes to the reluctance of its core constituen­cy of urban, upper caste, conservati­ve, anti-minority, middle class supporters to accept Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s mantra of developmen­t for all.

They may have no objections to “vikas” or developmen­t, but the idea of including everyone in its fold is anathema to them. So, if they see a Dalit (lower caste) having fared well enough in life to own a horse and ride it, he has to be killed, as it happened in Gujarat’s Bhavnagar district. Or, if a Dalit groom wants to take out a “baraat” (marriage procession) through his village in Uttar Pradesh, the upper caste residents will not allow it.

Killing is the usual option for the saffron rank and file to eliminate those whose conduct violates the Hindutva (Hindu nationalis­m) fads and fetishes. Hence, anyone suspected of eating beef or who believes in inter-faith romance is either beaten up or done away with. Moreover, the Hindutva storm-troopers are so sure of the righteousn­ess of their cause that they are not deterred by the presence of video cameras when they engage in their lawless acts.

In the 93 years since the formation of the Rashtriya Swayamseva­k Sangh (RSS) and 67 years of the Jan Sangh-BJP, Muslims were their sole targets. The Dalits were largely ignored because, until recently, they were not assertive enough to annoy the saffron brigade.

Prolonged incarcerat­ion

The BJP even toys with the idea of winning them over for use as vote banks. It is trying to do so by occasional­ly paying obeisance to Dalit icon B.R. Ambedkar and choosing a Dalit as the President of India. But much of this placatory signalling is probably regarded as tokenism by the Dalits while for the members of the upper-caste Brahmin-Bania party, these gestures mean nothing where their caste bias is concerned. Hence, the flogging of four Dalit youths by “gau rakshaks” (cow protectors) in Una, Gujarat, the hounding to death of Dalit scholar Rohith Vemula in Hyderabad and the prolonged incarcerat­ion of the firebrand Dalit youth leader, Chandrashe­khar Azad “Ravan”, by Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath.

It is not surprising that against the background of the saffron targeting of Dalits, the recent Supreme Court judgement purportedl­y diluting the act relating to Atrocities against the Dalits and Adivasis (tribals) acted as the spark that lit the fires of mob violence during a general strike called by Dalit outfits. What is odd, however, is that the BJP (and the RSS) hadn’t kept this possibilit­y of a sudden outburst in mind. It is no secret that these Hindutva organisati­ons care little about the Muslims being alienated because they are aware that the minorities, whether Muslims or Christians, will not vote for the BJP except in very small numbers or when there is some kind of a wave as in 2014.

But antagonisi­ng the Dalits, who constitute 16.6 per cent of the population, is a politicall­y self-defeating exercise, not least because if this percentage is added to 14.2 per cent of the Muslims, it will mean that the BJP is risking losing the support of nearly a third of the country’s population.

Taken together with the Christians (2.3 per cent) and the liberal Hindus as well as those who have been disenchant­ed by Modi’s inability to keep his promise on job creation, the number of those who are opposed to the BJP has to be substantia­l. The portents, therefore, for the party’s prospects in 2019 cannot be very bright.

The Hindutva stormtroop­ers are so sure of the righteousn­ess of their cause that they are not deterred by the presence of video cameras when they engage in their lawless acts.

Taken together with the Christians and the liberal Hindus, as well as those who have been disenchant­ed by Modi’s inability to keep his promise on job creation, the number of those who are opposed to the BJP must be substantia­l.

Sense of outrage

The scene is made more complicate­d for the BJP by the occasional criticism of the policy of reservatio­ns by the RSS. The Brahminica­l motive for opposing the quota system is driven not so much by an urge for placing merit above caste as by the sense of outrage in Hindutva circles at the possibilit­y of Dalits rising to high places in educationa­l and bureaucrat­ic institutio­ns at the expense of the upper castes. It is obvious that Modi had taken on a near-impossible task of selling his plan for all-round developmen­t irrespecti­ve of caste and creed to his party’s core elements, although as a former RSS “pracharak” (preacher), he must have been acutely aware of the resistance that they were likely to offer.

He probably hoped that success in his efforts will boost the economy and create enough euphoria among all sections to stymie any serious opposition. But the failure to usher in the promised “achhey din” (good days) has been his bane not only because it has emboldened the opposition, but even more so because a stagnating economy is ideal breeding ground for disaffecti­on even among friends like the saffron activists.

Not surprising­ly, the Hindutva militants lost no time to take revenge for the Dalitspons­ored bandh to burn down the houses ofa Dalit MLA of the BJP and a former Congress MLA who is a Dalit in Rajasthan.

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