President and rivals woo all important Kurdish voters
Turkey’s Kurds are set to play a critical role in determining the outcome of elections this month, with their votes coveted not just by the main pro-Kurdish party but also President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his chief rival.
Diyarbakir, the largest Kurdish-majority city in Turkey, has turned into an electoral battleground, even though the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) and its jailed presidential candidate Selahattin Demirtas are sure to leave rivals trailing. Over the last week both Erdogan and his main challenger, Muharrem Ince of the Republican People’s Party (CHP), have made trips to Diyarbakir to sway the votes of a potentially sceptical electorate.
Vote bank
Kurds make up at least one-fifth of Turkey’s 80 million population, by far its largest ethnic minority. The Diyarbakir region is a stronghold of the HDP, which in November 2015 parliamentary elections won over 71 per cent of the vote there and Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) just 22 per cent. Every Kurdish vote will count in the June 24 snap parliamentary and presidential polls. But not all Kurds vote automatically for the HDP.
For the AKP to win an absolute majority in the next parliament will depend largely on whether the HDP breaks through the 10 per cent overall threshold needed for seats.
Although in the presidential race, Demirtas will be the favoured candidate of most Kurds, their votes will be crucial in helping Ince if he succeeds in forcing Erdogan into a run-off.
The election is taking place against the background of ongoing troubles in the Kurdish-dominated southeast, where the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) has waged an insurgency since 1984 that has claimed tens of thousands of lives.
Charismatic figure
And Demirtas, by far the HDP’s most charismatic figure, is having to run his campaign from behind bars after being jailed in November 2016 on charges of links to the PKK. Analysts say that the AKP faces an even greater struggle than usual to win Kurdish votes after allying itself with the rightwing Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) which is despised by many Kurds.
“The AKP chose the MHP at the expense of the Kurds,” said Mehmet Vural, president of the Dicle Social Research Centre. “This has irritated the Kurds in general, not just the HDP supporters but also those who vote AKP,” he added.
Many Kurds were also dismayed by Ankara’s bitter opposition to the September 2017 independence referendum in Iraqi Kurdistan, as well as the Turkish military operation in the Afrin region of Syria earlier this year to dislodge a Kurdish militia.