Gulf News

Turkey didn’t learn enough lessons

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urkey learnt the fewest lessons from the Lehman crisis while Russia has done the most to protect itself from global turbulence, the European Bank for Reconstruc­tion and Developmen­t’s chief economist has said.

“For the emerging markets, the main lesson is that you need to build deep and meaningful financial markets in your own country,” EBRD’s chief economist Sergei Guriev said.

“Otherwise, because of problems in some other country you may have an external financing shock and you will have a crisis.”

“[Turkey has] a high level of dollar debt, a lack of independen­t decision making by the central bank, a lack of inflation targeting which results in wiping out euro denominate­d financial markets, shorting the duration of lira financial instrument­s and reinforcin­g this burden of indebtedne­ss,” Guriev said.

“This is very unfortunat­e, because it could have been avoided.”

It echoes warnings from the likes of the Bank for Internatio­nal Settlement­s and IMF about countries stacking up too much dollar-denominate­d debt when the global rush to slash interest rates made it look ultracheap.

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