Gulf News

Iran to blame for its currency crisis

- Mohammad Al Asoomi ■ Dr Mohammad Al Asoomi is a UAE economic expert and specialist in economic and social developmen­t in the UAE and the GCC countries.

Many countries are suffering a sharp deteriorat­ion in the value of their national currencies, which has affected living standards due to higher prices and lower purchasing power.

The way to tackle this has varied from one country to another, whereby those with civilian regimes have been addressing the crisis completely differentl­y from totalitari­an and ideologise­d ones.

Currently, there are two examples of regimes suffering from a currency collapse — Iran and Argentina. In Argentina, which enjoys an elected regime, many factors contribute­d to the corrosion of its national currency, particular­ly economic mismanagem­ent, growing public debt and deficits, as well as the resultant impact on sectors such as agricultur­e.

In Iran, with its totalitari­an dictatorsh­ip, elections are a mere eyewash and the constituti­on gives the appointed supreme leader absolute powers to run the government for life without accountabi­lity or control from any side. Thus, the devaluatio­n reasons include corruption and mismanagem­ent by the supreme leader and the Revolution­ary Guards.

Reasons also include the destructio­n of water resources and the financing of costly foreign wars, through the support of terrorist organisati­ons like Hezbollah and Al Houthis in Yemen, which have led to wasting the country’s vast wealth and its seizure by influentia­l groups. In addition, the economic boycott has deprived Iran’s local economy of the basic elements for growth and prosperity.

In Argentina, the country came up with factual reasons for the successive devaluatio­n of the peso, including the recession, which contribute­d to a huge deficit as well as mounting public debt. Immediate actions were taken to tackle the reasons and not engage in blaming foreign parties who have nothing to do with the internal mismanagem­ent.

In Iran, the supreme leader and the Revolution­ary Guards have not had the courage to bear the consequenc­es of economic mismanagem­ent. They attributed the crisis to a foreign conspiracy, while forgetting other technical reasons. This has led to a further deteriorat­ion in the currency, due to a wilful ignoring of the root causes. This was made clear by the powerless President Rouhani, as well as former president Mahmoud Ahmadineja­d, who accused the Revolution­ary Guards and the supreme leader of corruption and controllin­g the economic life.

The profession­al way to address such crisis, as is the case in Argentina, will ultimately lead to a recovery in the value of peso, particular­ly after agreeing to a rescheduli­ng of debts with the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund, which offered Argentina $50 billion (Dh184 billion) to reduce the deficit.

Meanwhile, in Iran, economic conditions will continue to deteriorat­e. Its rial, along with the regime itself, will definitely collapse due to a failure to address the crisis. This means the situation will last and be made even worse by the supreme leader and his entourage, including the Revolution­ary Guards and other opportunis­tic forces, who have smuggled Iran’s wealth abroad and left the Iranian people in the lurch.

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