Why California fires not a surprise
THE STATE HAS LEARNED LITTLE FROM THIS STUNNING TRAIL OF DEATH AND DESTRUCTION
The Camp fire raging in Butte County and the Tubbs fire that torched Northern California are a year and 100 miles (161km) apart. But they have much in common.
Flames and embers, pushed by strong dry winds out of the north and northeast, set a town ablaze, destroying thousands of buildings and forcing residents to flee from being burned to death.
By Friday night, the Camp had destroyed more than 6,700 buildings as it leaped across land scorched a mere decade ago in a siege of Northern California lightning fires.
California’s wildfire narrative is one of repetition
“We have these Santa Ana-like events happening in places that are appearing to catch people by surprise,” said Max Moritz, a cooperative extension wildfire specialist at the Bren School at the University of California, Santa Barbara. “But they shouldn’t be catching people by surprise. These are areas that have burned before. And if we were to go back and do the wind mapping, we would find that at some intervals, these areas are prone to these north and northeasterly Santa Ana-like events.”
They go by different names — Santa Anas, Sundowners, Diablos — but autumn winds that gain heat and speed as they blow from the interior down the state’s mountain ranges are inevitably the prime ingredient of California’s most destructive wildfires.
It feels like the Fog of War
“This got up and going really, really rapidly,” said Dave Sapsis, a wildland fire scientist with the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. “It had almost a direct-arrow line” to Paradise, a town of 26,000 atop a ridge in the Sierra Nevada foothills.
“We were told about a red-flag warning, a big heavy wind,” said Butte County Sheriff Kory Honea. “There’s this quote, being in ‘the fog of war.’ That is exactly what it feels like,” he said. “You’re trying to figure out where the fire is coming from and what’s going on. It becomes very, very difficult to keep track of all of the moving parts.”
Largest wildfire in modern state history
The property loss wrought by the Camp fire has eclipsed the modern record set just a year ago by the Tubbs, which levelled 5,636 buildings in the wine country and killed 22 people. At least nine people have died in the Camp, some of them when their vehicles were overtaken by flames.
In July, the fast-moving Mendocino Complex fire in Northern California charred 459,123 acres, becoming the largest wildfire in modern state history and bumping last December’s, Thomas fire in Southern California to second place.
… but has anyone learnt a lesson?
Moritz argues that the state has learned little from this stunning trail of death and destruction. “We are failing ourselves,” he said. “We have all kinds of tools to help us do this smarter, to build in a more sustainable way and to co-exist with fire. But everybody throws up their hands and says, ‘Oh, all land-use planning is local. You can’t tell people that they can’t build there.’ And the conversation stops right there.
“We had these epic, terrible events last year and our governor came out swinging, talking about climate change. [But] he ended up with decrees and bills that focused on thinning the forest,” Moritz said.