Experts warn of increase in fatality rate as infections soar
Increase in cases testing feeble health care system in impoverished towns
India’s confirmed coronavirus infections passed 5 million yesterday, still soaring and testing the feeble health care system in tens of thousands of impoverished towns and villages.
The world’s second-most populous country has added more than 1 million cases this month alone and is expected to become the pandemic’s worsthit country within weeks, surpassing the United States, where more than 6.6 million people have been infected.
India’s Health Ministry reported 90,123 new cases in the past 24 hours, raising the total to 5,020,359, about 0.35 per cent of the nation’s nearly 1.4 billion people. Its record daily high of 97,570 cases was reported on September 11. The ministry said 1,290 more people died in the past 24 hours, for a total of 82,066, which is the thirdhighest toll in the world. Experts warned that India’s fatality rate could increase in coming weeks with lockdown restrictions relaxed except in high-risk areas.
But authorities ruled out imposing a second countrywide lockdown as recoveries were growing at more than 78 per cent. Its fatality rate is 1.6 per cent, far lower than 3 per cent in the US and Brazil, according to tallies by Johns Hopkins University.
Dr. Gagandeep Kang, an infectious diseases expert from Christian Medical College in Vellore, said the increase in cases in India was inevitable. But she said the country still has a chance to limit the growth through a strategy of testing and isolating affected places. She said “the goal was for India to do enough testing to bring down the test positivity rate, or fraction of tests that test positive to less than 5 per cent or even less than 1 per cent.”