Gulf News

HOW CLIMATE CHANGE DIVIDES THE UN SECURITY COUNCIL

UN needs to make sure that the world comes together to survive the climate challenge

- BY ASHOK SWAIN | Special to Gulf News ■ Ashok Swain is a Professor of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, Sweden.

On 23 September 2021, the UN Security Council held a highlevel open debate on Climate and Security. For almost one and half a decade, climate change has been discussed and debated in the Security Council. It started in 2007 when the UK used its prerogativ­e as chair for the first time to introduce climate change in the Security Council debate in the context of energy.

The next open debate took place in 2011 and resulted in a presidenti­al statement expressing concerns that the adverse effects of climate change may “aggravate certain existing threats to internatio­nal peace and security.” Since then, several open debates and Arria-Formula meetings have been held in the Security Council on climate change and security.

However, the Security Council has yet to reach a consensus on incorporat­ing climate-related security risks into its regular business. Among the permanent members, the UK and France have been supporting this initiative from the beginning. In their time as elected members of the Council, Sweden, Germany and currently Norway have been forcefully pushing this agenda, at least for the last 6-7 years. The Trump administra­tion was reluctant, but the US has become a prime supporter of pushing the Security Council to include climate change within its agenda under the Biden administra­tion.

Despite the acceptance of currently 12 of the 15 Security Council members of the seriousnes­s of climate-related security risks in recent years, the consensus still eludes the inclusion of climate change on the Security Council agenda. Two veto-carrying members, China and Russia, have openly taken a stance against it, as India has as an elected member. China argues that climate change is an issue of sustainabl­e developmen­t, not a security issue. Russia argues that other UN agencies have already got the mandate to act on climate change, so entrusting the task to the Security Council will be counterpro­ductive.

As its representa­tive described in the open debate on September 23, “Too many cooks spoil the broth”. Russia’s opposition is not as rigid but still sceptical about including climate change as it fears that it will stretch the mandate of the Security Council.

Climate change is the issue of survival. To pitch it in security terms divides the key powers within the internatio­nal community, as China sees it as developed countries locking their sight on others.

Climate-induced challenges

Despite their opposition to formally agree on bringing climate change to the Security Council agenda, Russia and China have taken various measures on their domestic fronts to prepare themselves against climate-induced security challenges. They have also agreed to include the implicatio­n of climate change in different Security Council resolution­s on several UN field missions since 2017, including on Lake Chad, Darfur, Somalia, Central Africa, Mali, DRC, and recently Iraq.

In this context, it is important to ask, is it prudent by some countries, during their monthly Council presidenci­es, to hold a signature event and insist on including climate change in the Security Council’s Agenda? This approach certainly increases the risk of further enlarging the division among the Security

Council’s permanent members in putting a joint front against the survival threats to the planet itself.

There is no doubt that climate change has become a serious concern for this planet’s security and even survival. Climate change is having a tremendous impact on the livelihood of societies and poses challenges to the peace, security, and stability of countries at various levels. In the early decades of its inception, the Security Council solely focused on war, armed conflict, and military threats. With the gradual broadening and widening of the security as a concept, the ambit of the Security Council focus has also expanded. In the recent decades, its resolution­s have covered human security challenges, protection of women and children from various pandemics and natural disasters. In this context, bringing climate change to the Security Council’s agenda can be seen as a natural developmen­t.

However, the business in multilater­al forums is not that straightfo­rward. Though the members are unanimous over the adverse security implicatio­ns of climate change, a huge difference still exists about the Security Council’s role in addressing them. While the Security Council has failed to keep a united front in raging conflicts like Myanmar, Tigray, Yemen, and Afghanista­n, expecting it to be proactive in preventing future climateind­uced conflicts is probably not wise.

The expectatio­n is reasonable but not based on reality. Florian Krampe of SIPRI is right to argue that the Security Council can’t ignore climate change as 10 out of 21 ongoing UN peace operations are in the high-climate risk countries. However, it is not what is right but what is the priority. Even if climate change is yet to come within the Security Council’s tasks formally, that has not stopped it from passing several resolution­s in individual cases of peace operations.

The IPCC report released in August 2021 says it clearly that human activity is changing the climate in unpreceden­ted and irreversib­le ways, and the UN Secretary-General even called the report ‘a code red for humanity’.

Climate change is the issue of survival. To pitch it in security terms divides the key powers within the internatio­nal community, as China sees it as developed countries locking their sight on others. The open debates are showcase events of elected Security Council members of Europe during their rotating Presidents­hip, more to brag about their achievemen­t to their domestic audience, and not based on pragmatism. To survive from the threats of climate change, the planet expects the Security Council to bring countries together, particular­ly the US and China, not to divide them further.

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