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COVIDPILLS­FOR $705? WHYORAL ANTIVIRALS ARE ALL THE RAGE

Three Covid-19 pills race to the finish line: What we know, and what we don’t

- BY JAY HILOTIN Senior Assistant Editor

Covid pills are all the rage right now, as several oral antiviral medication­s specifical­ly developed against SARS-CoV-2 are about to hit the finish line. Three are in advanced stages of clinical trials, phases II/III, of which Merck’s molnupirav­ir is the front-runner.

The good news: People newly infected with Covid-19 might soon have access to what essentiall­y is a pill for SARSCoV-2. Trials are promising. If, or when, approved, they could further boost the world’s fight against the pandemic, which has so far left 5 million dead.

Merck has announced molnupirav­ir cuts the risk of hospitalis­ation and death from the virus by 50 per cent, based on the initial data readout. Here’s the lowdown on the Covid pills:

What are the three Covid pills on trial?

The three candidate antivirals dashing towards the finish line are: molnupirav­ir, ritonavir, and AT-527.

They’re all oral medication­s. Among the three, the Merckdevel­oped molnuvirap­ir is leading the pack, with initial data analysis of a trial involving 1,850 participan­ts showing it cuts hospitalis­ations and deaths by half. All three are expected to complete clinical trials by November.

What are the end points of the Covid pill trials?

Molnupirav­ir: The study aims to evaluate the safety, tolerabili­ty and efficacy of molnupirav­ir (MK-4482) compared to placebo. The primary hypothesis is that molnupirav­ir is superior to placebo as assessed by the percentage of participan­ts who are hospitalis­ed and/or die through Day 29.

Ritonavir: The study seeks to determine whether PF-07321332/ ritonavir, developed by Pfizer, is safe and effective for the treatment of adults who are ill with Covid-19 and do not need to be in the hospital, but are at an increased risk of developing severe illness. Study visits will be conducted at a participan­t’s home or another non-clinic location if available. The total study duration is up to 24 weeks.

AT-527: This study evaluates the efficacy, safety, antiviral activity, and pharmacoki­netics of study drug RO7496998 (AT-527) compared to placebo in non-hospitalis­ed adult and adolescent participan­ts with mild to moderate coronaviru­s disease 2019 (Covid-19) in the outpatient setting.

Level of effectiven­ess

No patients given molnupirav­ir died during trials.

Merck announced that 7.3 per cent of patients who received molnupirav­ir (28/385) were hospitalis­ed through Day 29 of the study.

On the other hand, 14.1 per cent of patients given placebo (53/377) were either hospitalis­ed or died as a result of Covid-19 through Day 29. That’s a 50 per cent efficacy, based on the initial data analysis.

Additional­ly, no patients that were given molnupirav­ir died, whereas eight of those given the placebo did. Merck said it was already seeking emergency-use authorisat­ion in the United States.

What are the advantages of having Covid-19 pills?

The pills pose a number of important advantages.

First: In the early stages of the infection, the pill can be already taken at home (if available). So people who are newlyinfec­ted with the virus could use it outside of hospitals. This could greatly help avoid health care facilities from being overwhelme­d.

Second: They’re specific to the Covid virus. Until now, hospitals have been using a repurposed drug remdesivir — developed to treat Ebola — to curb the damage done by a Covid infection, but its effectiven­ess is limited. On the other hand, monoclonal antibodies also can attack the virus in early infection, but they’re in short supply, not easy to administer and quite pricey. They have to be given intravenou­sly, which makes administra­tion even more expensive.

Third: Ease of logistics and administra­tion. The new pills, if proven safe and effective, could be the equivalent of antibiotic­s pills or a flu tablet that could keep people out of the hospital, curb complicati­ons, say experts.

Will vaccines become unnecessar­y if, and when the Covid pills are roll-out?

If regulators deem the trial data to be acceptable based on their proof of work in reducing Covid hospitalis­ations and deaths, the new generation of oral medication­s could be a game changer. The antiviral pill could offer an easy-to-swallow early-interventi­on tool against Covid, preventing the bulk of cases from progressin­g further.

That would significan­tly alter the fight against coronaviru­s. Meanwhile, approved Covid vaccines are already proven safe and effective and had been rolled out in the hundreds of millions across the world, but there’s not enough of it for the entire planet.

As the global death toll climbed past 5 million, Dr Anthony S. Fauci, adviser on the pandemic to US President Joe Biden, warned that people in his country should not wait to be jabbed just because they believe they can take the pill. While the new medicine may decrease a person’s risk, Fauci said the best way to be protected is by avoiding infection, though inoculatio­n.

Who are the drugs makers behind them? Merck, known as MSD outside the United States and Canada, is the developer of molnupirav­ir. Pfizer, for its part started the early-stage clinical trial for ritonavir drug. Roche collaborat­ed with Atea Pharmaceut­icals to develop AT-527 as an oral treatment for Covid-19 patients.

Why does it take time for antiviral drugs to develop?

One reason it takes time for antiviral drugs to be developed is because they’re so specific to the viruses causing disease. Merck conducted the molnupirav­ir clinical trials jointly with Ridgeback Biotherape­utics (a biotech company based in Miami Florida). It has also conducted trials with Indian pharmaceut­ical companies.

However, work on the broadspect­rum antiviral started more than 10 years ago. Any drug developmen­t effort is a time and money-intensive endeavour. Merck, for example, also tried to develop Covid vaccine, which the company abandoned in January after it failed to generate desired immune responses. Merck decided to focus on the pills instead.

How much is the cost of each molnupirav­ir course?

About $705 per course, based on an the $1.2 billion orders placed by the US government for 1.7 million courses of the pill from Merck. The orders were “advanced” as the clinical trials had not been completed yet, and is contingent on approval by drug regulators. US health authoritie­s plan to give the pills for free.

How many pills will be prescribed for each course?

Merck said patients will take four capsules twice a day for five days — 40 pills over the course of the treatment. The regimen is familiar to anyone who has taken an antibiotic.

What about side effects?

Merck did not report any serious side effects among volunteers in its clinical trial. Any side effects, which typically involve mild complaints like headaches, can be hard to distinguis­h from feeling ill from Covid, researcher­s said.

Isn’t the $705 price tag per course too high?

Whether that will be the actual cost, remains unclear at this point. Merck have committed to “plans to implement a tiered pricing approach based on World Bank country income criteria to reflect countries’ relative ability to finance their health response to the pandemic,” said Prof Stephen Evans, Professor of Pharmacoep­idemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

[Merck have committed to] plans to implement a tiered pricing approach based on World Bank country income criteria …”

Prof Stephen Evans | London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

No patients that were given molnupirav­ir died. Merck said it was already seeking emergency-use authorisat­ion in the United States.

What’s the price of the generics version of the pill?

Nothing has been announced yet. On June 29, 2021, Reuters reported that five Indian generic drugmakers — including Cipla, Dr Reddy’s Laboratori­es, Sun Pharmaceut­ical Industries, Torrent Pharmaceut­icals and Emcure Pharmaceut­icals — have partnered with Merck to expand production of molnupirav­ir. These are “nonexclusi­ve voluntary licensing agreements”.

Will the Covid pills be available in other countries?

The deal with Indian drugmakers gave them licence to make and supply molnupirav­ir to India and more than 100 low- and middle-income countries following approvals or emergency authorisat­ion by local regulatory agencies, Merck said in late April.

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