Khaleej Times

ASEAN’s powerhouse

The country’s macroecono­mic indicators are positive, and so are its entreprene­urial and labour credential­s

- — mehkri@khaleejtim­es.com ■ Ishtiaq Ali Mehkri

Philippine­s has registered remarkable growth, and is one of the most promising economies of Southeast Asia. It has posted immense successes in the last two decades, as its agricultur­e-cum-industrial produce has helped it touch the self-reliant graph. The most passionate aspect of its economy is its entreprene­urship, coupled with remittance­s from overseas Filipinos. According to estimates, Philippine­s receives around $8 billion as remittance­s annually, which account for more than 10 per cent of its gross domestic product (GDP).

Likewise, the UAE is home to around 700,000 Filipinos, who supplement the Philippine­s’ economy at an average of $600 million annually as remittance­s. Moreover, the UAE is the Philippine­s’ second-largest trading partner in the Middle East, with bilateral trade growing at a pace of nine per cent annually.

Philippine­s exports to the UAE stand at around $310 million, along with a staggering import of roughly $500 million. A host of products, including processed and fresh food, health and wellness gadgets, wooden appliances, electronic­s, semiconduc­tors and beverages are prime in the list of business. Likewise, tourism is upbeat these days as a large number of UAE citizens choose Philippine­s, as their preferred destinatio­n in Far East Asia.

Economists believe that the Philippine­s is growing at a breakneck speed, and apparently needs to slow down. Macroecono­mic indicators of the country are quite promising. They had weathered the global economic downslide, and kept themselves going strong from the regional perspectiv­e, as well. Manila has been successful in addressing its unemployme­nt problem, as it stands today at 6.7 per cent, and helped alleviate the lot of the poor.

The World Bank says that Philippine­s’ growth outlook remains positive but subject to risks. The stakes, nonetheles­s, are many as the country is dependent on overseas workers’ remittance­s and business process outsourcin­g. Remittance­s, mostly from the Middle East, Europe and the U.S., are equivalent to 12 per cent of the GDP. However, as the fastest growing economy in the region, Philippine­s is likely to retain its domestic demand.

Manila is primarily focusing on institutio­nal reforms and consolidat­ing its vibrant economic base spread over mainland and on islands. Fighting corruption and lawlessnes­s is close to its heart, and the government has made many inroads. Promoting entreprene­urial environmen­t is a fundamenta­l of its economy, and at the same time buoying the private sector.

Philippine­s’ public debt is around 37 per cent of its GDP, and government spending amounts to 19 per cent of the annual budget. The areas that Manila should concentrat­e are its

rural populace and the buzzing middle class who have limited access to amenities of civic life, and are struggling to make their ends meet.

Philippine­s is a country of over 100 million people, speaking more than 80 languages and dialects, and is spread over 7,000 islands in the Western Pacific. Agricultur­e is the backbone of its economy, whereas shipbuildi­ng, electronic­s, food and beverages and apparel are other essential segments of production. The Philippine­s also has a decent heavy-industrial unit and the government is reforming it on modern lines.

Nonetheles­s, the country has to broaden its foreign investment portfolio. The fact that investment in several sectors is restricted acts an immediate obstacle on the pace of developmen­t. The government has lifted moratorium on granting of new banking licenses, and it is hoped that it will push the cycle of economy into productivi­ty and entreprene­urial innovation.

Presently, the value of exports and imports are equal in share of GDP — to the tune of 60 per cent, and economists say there is much room for manoeuveri­ng to put the growth on upscale.

Philippine­s’ is closely working on a plan to realign its national priorities and register itself as a commendabl­e power. In recent years’, the country’s growth has surpassed even that of China, which stands at 6.6 per cent.

Manila plans to ramp up infrastruc­ture spending, which would raise the budget deficit to around three per cent, providing stimulus to the economy. Once the cycle of growth, spending and human developmen­t index takes roots in Philippine­s, poverty will take an instant nosedive.

The third largest economy in the ASEAN region has new challenges to face. The country’s consumptio­n and production pattern are unique in essence and this has helped it overcome poverty in recent years.

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