Saudi government needs $13bn investment to reap full rewards from mining sector potential
Saudi Arabia needs about $13 billion (Dh47.7bn) in private sector investment to fully exploit the potential of the kingdom’s $1.3 trillion worth of mineral endowments, a new report has said.
The study into the country’s mining sector by the US-Saudi Business Council describes the outlook for the sector as “very favourable”, citing government initiatives to encourage investment. These include a planned update of the kingdom’s mining investment code to make it more investor-friendly and the development of a National Geological Database marking out exploration opportunities.
The government has also earmarked 14.3bn riyals (Dh14bn) “with the aim of making it easier to conduct business and improving data quality to reduce the risks associated with investing in new mining properties”.
“The main aspect the government is attempting to drive is private sector participation. This has been a significant challenge as [Saudi Arabian Mining Company] Ma’aden has been the sole entity responsible for the development of the mining sector,” the report’s author, economist Albara’a Alwazir, told The National.
Ma’aden is majority owned by the Public Investment Fund, the kingdom’s sovereign fund. PIF’s governor, Yasir Al Rumayyen, recently became chairman of Ma’aden. The company earned 1.9bn riyals in profit in the first nine months of the year on revenue of 10.3bn riyals.
The mining and quarrying sector made up 30.1 per cent of the kingdom’s nominal gross domestic product last year, but that figure included oil and gas extraction. Excluding this, the sector contributed 1.4 per cent of GDP. Although small, this figure has been growing at a compound rate of almost 5 per cent a year as Ma’aden has undertaken huge projects in the north of the country mining bauxite for an aluminium smelter and phosphates for fertiliser use.
Under Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 economic diversification plan, the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources is looking to increase the contribution of mining to GDP to 240bn riyals in 2030, up from a stated 17bn riyals.
The Saudi Geological Survey identified 5,574 metallic and non-metallic mineral sites by the end of 2018. Of these, 2,919 contain non-metallic materials such as phosphates, silica, marble, limestone and quartz, and the remaining 2,533 have metallic deposits – gold, zinc, copper and tin-tungsten.
Gold production has been one area of relative success for the kingdom, with extraction rates growing at a compound rate of 12.5 per cent between 2010 to 2018, reaching 415,000 ounces by the end of last year.
Saudi Arabia has a target of producing a million ounces by 2025, with three new mining sites already identified in the Makkah region.
A 2.3bn riyal contract was awarded to Finnish equipment company Outotec and Indian contractor Larsen and Toubro in April to develop two of these, Mansourah and Massarah, which are expected to produce an average of 250,000 ounces of gold per year over their lifespan.
Phosphates are perhaps more important to the kingdom, however, with two mega-projects already under way – Ma’aden Phosphate Company is a 21bn riyal joint venture between Ma’aden (which holds a 70 per cent stake) and Sabic (30 per cent), while the Ma’aden Wa’ad Al Shamal Phosphate Company has been the subject of 31 billion riyals of investment.
Production at the first phase of the latter began at the end of last year, and the mine is expected to form the centrepiece of an industrial city that will attract 86bn riyals worth of investment.
Yet while Ma’aden has played a prominent role in bringing major projects to the market, more could be done to help SMEs in the kingdom get involved in the sector, Mr Alwazir said.
“The limitations placed on SMEs who wish to enter the market are numerous but most notably consist of very low bank appetites to extend credit, lack of a domestic capital market whereby SMEs can raise capital, and public equity exchange regulations that dampen the ability to list due to minimum capitalisation rules,” he said.