Africa Outlook

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Citigroup expects 2018 to be its best year for investment banking in the Middle East and Africa in at least a decade, likely led by Saudi Arabia, a senior executive at the US bank said.

Nigeria, Egypt and the United

Arab Emirates would also be the main growth drivers as bond sales, mergers and acquisitio­ns and public share sales pick-up, Miguel Azevedo, Citigroup’s Head of Investment Banking, Middle East and Africa, said.

“The pipeline in the Middle East and Africa is as good as we have seen since the global financial crisis of 2008,” he told Reuters in an interview, adding that emerging markets represente­d a larger weight of Citi’s earnings than for others.

“GDP growth for advanced economies this year is approximat­ely three percent, while for emerging markets it is around five percent.

For investment banking, the growth should maybe be even more,” Azevedo said.

In the Middle East and Africa, getting deals done would depend on market stability, but swings in global stocks in recent days represente­d a correction and were not “enough to put any of these transactio­ns off”.

Citigroup said last month it had won formal approval from Saudi Arabia’s Capital Market Authority to begin an investment banking business there, enabling its return after an absence of almost 13 years.

Several internatio­nal lenders are seeking to build a Saudi presence as opportunit­ies emerge from reforms to wean the economy off a reliance on oil revenues. Those include privatisat­ions such as the planned listing up to five percent of Saudi Aramco.

Citi was among those invited to pitch for a role in the stock market listing, sources confirmed last month and the bank has already hired former Saudi Fransi Capital executive, Majed al-Hassoun to head its Saudi investment banking business, which it is developing with further hires.

“There is a very significan­t privatisat­ion push ... this could create the opportunit­y for investors to deploy capital to develop the industrial base and infrastruc­ture,” he said.

The bank also expects significan­t opportunit­ies in Nigeria, which has low debt levels and was expected to return to the bond markets in 2018, while Nigerian companies were also forecast to issue bonds and launch initial public offerings, Azevedo added.

Egypt’s outlook was also positive after the 2016 currency devaluatio­n and IPOs were slated in sectors such as industrial and manufactur­ing and financial services and consumer, he said.

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