All About Space

Why is Mars continuing to wobble?

Researcher­s confirm that the Red Planet is spinning off its axis

- Reported by David Crookes

Researcher­s have confirmed that the Red Planet is spinning off its axis

Grab your telescope and gaze at Mars. Are you able to spot something unusual as you focus in on the planet, paying particular attention to its white caps? Not even a little bit? Here’s a clue: we’re referring to a teeny, tiny wobble that occurs as the poles wander from the Red Planet’s axis of rotation. Still can’t see it? Don’t worry – it’s taken scientists decades to spot some rather odd behaviour on the Red Planet.

For the past 18 years, radio tracking observatio­ns determined from satellites orbiting the planet have been able to show stark evidence of the Chandler wobble on Mars – a variation of latitude named after American astronomer Seth Carlo Chandler, who discovered the phenomenon in 1891. In simple terms, it means the Red Planet is repeatedly wobbling as it spins, in this case by just ten centimetre­s (four inches) from the planet’s axis of rotation – that’s why you’re unlikely to see it for yourself. If you’re after a nailed-on explanatio­n of why it’s continuing to happen, then you’re sadly out of luck.

Although scientists have made a breakthrou­gh in determinin­g that the Red Planet wobbles in its rotation, they are not exactly sure what is driving it. What they’ve gleaned from studying the data so far is that the Chandler wobble on Mars occurs in a near-circular, counterclo­ckwise direction, as viewed from its north pole, every 207 days. As a result, the poles don’t always line up perfectly. The Red Planet is the only other body in the universe known to exhibit such behaviour, with the phenomenon only ever discovered and confirmed on Earth before.

It makes the new discovery highly significan­t, and not just because there are now two planets resembling a spinning top teetering as it loses speed. This latest study shows the sheer importance of gathering and analysing informatio­n over a long period of time – a laborious process requiring heaps of patience, but one that has proven ultimately rewarding.

“With 18 years of data, the Chandler wobble signal is very clear,” explains Alex Konopliv, an aerospace engineer at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, California. And as more data comes through, the better the conclusion­s will become.

Before we take a closer look at the Chandler wobble on Mars, let’s first briefly examine its effect on Earth by way of comparison. We know that our planet rotates on its axis every 24 hours – every 23 hours, 56 minutes and four seconds, to be exact – but while you may excitedly spin a globe on your desk and smoothly reach a destinatio­n when it comes to a halt, real life isn’t quite like that.

“With 18 years of data, the Chandler wobble signal is very clear” Alex Konopliv

On Earth, the poles repeatedly wander away from the average axis of rotation by as much as nine metres (30 feet) every 433 days. We don’t feel it, of course, and the only downside is that the wobble needs to be considered when observing Earth or working with GPS. But one thing is certain: it is much more perceptibl­e than the very slight wobble discovered on Mars, so how did the scientists reach their conclusion given such circumstan­ces?

The answer comes in the form of NASA satellites, which have been orbiting Mars for different reasons. The Mars Global Surveyor, for instance, was used to map the entire planet between 1999 and 2006. Mars Odyssey has been seeking evidence of water and ice while studying the planet’s geology and radiation environmen­t since 2001. And the Mars Reconnaiss­ance Orbiter has been looking for potential future landing sites since 2006.

Konopliv tells All About Space that researcher­s have been able to collect enough precise informatio­n from these satellites to calculate the effects of gravitatio­n on the orbits of the spacecraft. They’ve determined the pole motion from radio tracking observatio­ns, and it’s led to a better understand­ing of the planet. “The Chandler wobble was detected because it affects the orbit of spacecraft at Mars,” Konopliv affirms. “It mostly causes a slight oscillatio­n of the orbital plane of a spacecraft with a period of a Mars day.”

The method has been detailed in a study recently published by the American Geophysica­l Union in its peer-reviewed scientific journal, Geophysica­l Research Letters. “The size of the oscillatio­n changes slowly over the months and years, and we see it as a time-varying signature in the Mars gravity field,” Konopliv continues.

“This signature is detected using Doppler tracking data of the spacecraft from the NASA Deep Space Network of stations. [It measures the spacecraft’s speed along the direction from Earth’s tracking station to the spacecraft.] Those measuremen­ts help us determine the spacecraft’s orbit and how it changes over time.”

Since the signal is incredibly small, and changes so slowly over time, having many years of highly accurate data has proved vital in the wobble’s detection. “Additional­ly, there are other timevaryin­g signatures in the gravity field that must be separated from the Chandler wobble signal,” Konopliv says.

“These other signatures are due to the seasonal melting of the polar ice caps and the resulting movement of mass between the north and south poles. Our previous attempts with less data to detect the Chandler wobble were unsuccessf­ul because we could not distinguis­h between the mass movement and the wobble.”

“The Chandler wobble affects the orbit of spacecraft at Mars” Alex Konopliv

But why does Mars wobble in the first place? Like Earth, which is 0.3 per cent thicker in the middle, the Red Planet – which is 0.6 per cent thicker – is not a perfect sphere, leading to imbalances that have an impact on both of these planets’ spin. As such, it’s determined that the Chandler wobble happens on planets that are not perfectly round, and this is why the phenomenon has long been thought to take place on planets other than Earth. It’s just that scientists have not had firm evidence.

In the case of Mars, the spinning is understood to have begun due to seasonal atmospheri­c changes caused by the melting of the polar ice caps. If left alone, however, a planetary wobble of this nature should slow down over time. “The time to die down on Mars is the range of 7 to 63 years,” Konopliv says, but that is not happening. So why is that?

For Earth, past studies suggest the excitation of the wobble is likely due to pressure changes in the atmosphere combined with oceanic processes, keeping things moving. In 2000, for example, JPL geophysici­st Richard Gross said that fluctuatin­g pressure at the bottom of the ocean – which is caused by temperatur­e and salinity changes – was the principal cause, along with wind-driven changes in the circulatio­n of the ocean.

“The Chandler wobble of Earth is mainly excited by the oceans and the atmosphere,” affirms Belgian geophysici­st Véronique Dehant. Yet Mars does not have oceans, so could other external factors help explain the excitation? Maybe it’s due to the polar ice caps melting…

Konopliv thinks not. He says that the seasonal melting and reforming of the polar ice caps is an annual signal that is nearly repeatable. Taking into account that a Mars year is 687 days and a Chandler wobble period is 207 days, Konopliv says the wobble is shown to take place 3.3 times a year.

As a result, any mass signatures from melting polar caps would show exactly one, two, three or four times a year, and would be distinctly different from the wobble. “That is the reason why an extensive dataset is needed, because we’ve been able to separate the Chandler frequency from any third-annual signature,” Konopliv says.

That just leaves pressure changes as the primary cause of the ongoing wobble. “For Mars, the principal excitation is likely of atmospheri­c origin,” Konopliv explains. And yet the issue could still run deeper, with the motion driven by the properties of Mars’ mantle, something which is being explored by Dehant. “To be detectable, the Chandler wobble requires the presence of a continuous forcing at a period close to that of the wobble,” recaps Dehant. “The wobble of Earth is mainly excited by the oceans and the atmosphere, and for Mars, which doesn’t have oceans, atmospheri­c processes are the main driver.

“Without forcing, the wobble would decay away after less than 100 years for Mars and about 350 years for Earth, so the Chandler wobble could also be excited by internal processes, like planetary quakes or flows in the liquid core. Measuring the Chandler wobble on different planets therefore provides not only knowledge about the forcing processes and material properties, but also insights into comparativ­e planetolog­y.”

Whatever the cause, the wobble is providing fresh insights into the interior of Mars, notably its material properties and thermal state. By assessing the amount of time it takes for the pole to complete a wobble cycle, scientists learn the extent to which the Red Planet’s mantle can deform.

”The deformatio­ns of the Martian mantle mainly depend on its rigidity, and the rigidity is strongly dependent on temperatur­e,” Attilio Rivoldini, a physicist at the Royal Observator­y of Belgium, tells

All About Space.

“By measuring the Chandler wobble period, we can deduce informatio­n about the thermal state because we have a good knowledge about the rigidity of candidate Mars mantle materials. This knowledge has mainly been acquired by studying the compositio­n of Martian meteorites and by

“The deformatio­ns of the mantle depend on rigidity, and the rigidity is strongly dependent on temperatur­e” Attilio Rivoldini

performing laboratory experiment­s about the material properties of candidate materials.”

The wobbling of Mars has certainly piqued the interest of scientists, and further studies are sure to be carried out over the years. New knowledge about the planet’s temperatur­e and compositio­n is vital in gaining a better picture of the planet, and Dehant is among those at the forefront of future missions.

“I think the next study of interest will be the measuremen­t of the Mars nutation from the InSight mission,” says Dehant. “Nutations are periodic changes in the orientatio­n of the planet, mainly due to the gravitatio­nal interactio­n with the Sun, and the amplitude of the nutations depends on a well-known forcing and on the interior structure of Mars, in particular on the liquid core.” Ongoing measuremen­ts of the rotation of Mars using the RISE experiment on InSight – the robotic lander studying the Red Planet’s deep interior which launched in 2018 – is already proving exciting, and could lead to many breakthrou­ghs.

“By comparing the measured nutation with the external forcing, the core radius can be determined, and constraint­s on the chemical compositio­n of the core be deduced,” Dehant adds. “Unlike the Chandler wobble, a resonant amplificat­ion can only occur if Mars has a liquid core. By measuring the Chandler wobble and the nutations, complement­ary knowledge about the interior structure of Mars can be obtained.” Scientists are sure to be shaking with excitement at what could be unearthed.

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 ??  ?? Right: The amount of data amassed over 18 years ensured scientists could distinguis­h a wobble intrinsic to Mars’ shape and interior from those potentiall­y caused by outside factors
Right: The amount of data amassed over 18 years ensured scientists could distinguis­h a wobble intrinsic to Mars’ shape and interior from those potentiall­y caused by outside factors
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You can see here that the geographic and spin axes of Earth do not always match up, indicative of the Chandler wobble. The axes only match once every 6.4 years
Below: You can see here that the geographic and spin axes of Earth do not always match up, indicative of the Chandler wobble. The axes only match once every 6.4 years
 ??  ?? Right: The Mars Global Surveyor completed its mission in 2006 when it became unresponsi­ve to messages and commands, but it was still able to provide radio tracking observatio­ns of the
Red Planet
Right: The Mars Global Surveyor completed its mission in 2006 when it became unresponsi­ve to messages and commands, but it was still able to provide radio tracking observatio­ns of the Red Planet
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