An encouraging sign is the amount of this year’s surviving fry. I’ve just tried a swim where a shoal of about 30 tiny perch attacked my lure, but even with a size 8 hook, a 1.5 g jighead and a 2 cm grub lure, they couldn’t manage to engulf it. Never mind, it was still fun watching them. I have now seen a large shoal of roach, with fish to 1 lb, along with several chub of between 8 oz and 2 lb. Often a chub attacks a lure when it lands near them, grabbing it out of instinct, but today they have been spooked by it. I did have one move over a paused lure, but when it lowered its head, I got overexcited, and struck too early.