Beast from the East Two Warning another big freeze could be on way
TEMPERATURES in Bristol could plunge this week ahead of a Beast from the East 2 hitting in the middle of next week.
Met Office meteorologist Alex Burkill said that freezing rain could turn to snow over parts of the country from tonight into tomorrow morning, although rain could stop snow settling in the Bristol region.
“Through Thursday itself there’ll be further rain across the bulk of the UK and this could bring some fairly significant snow in northern England and a bit further southwards through Thursday,” he said.
“By Thursday afternoon we could be looking at the risk of snow across many parts of northern England and into the Midlands and perhaps a little bit further east as well.”
Though there are warnings of as much as 30cm of snow in Scotland, Mr Burkill said that rainfall would “go some way to preventing much snow lying” elsewhere through Thursday in particular.
“For northern England we could be looking at around 15cm, perhaps 20cm by the end of Thursday over the highest routes,” he said.
“Further south I’m not really sure that much if any snow will settle.”
He said central and eastern parts of England could see “maybe one or two centimetres” of snow over the highest routes.
“But because of how wet the ground is going to be leading up to it, and how much rain there’ll be mixed in around as well, there probably won’t be a huge amount settling,” he said.
Temperatures could drop as low as minus 7C in the east of England tonight and possibly to minus 11C or minus 12C in Scotland, he said.
“Through today and into tomorrow I think if you’re stuck under the rain and you have that snow then temperatures could really be suppressed even by day,” Mr Burkill said. “Some places may only just about scrape above freezing on some days, so highs of between zero and 2C in some places.”
Further wintry weather is forecast to arrive on Saturday, and that “could bring heavy rain and also some significant snow particularly for central parts of England”.
And it is possible temperatures will plunge further in Bristol next week, Mr Burkill said, as there is “very much a possibility” of a Beast from the East 2 arriving in the “middle of next week”.
The first Beast from the East, the name given to the significant snowfall in February 2018, happened when a sudden statospheric warming event sent freezing winds from Siberia.
Mr Burkill said that for such weather to occur next week, “what we’d need is a blocking area of high pressure, particularly to the north of the UK, and that would then drag in that cold easterly wind”.
“There are some signs that we could get something similar to that during the middle part of next week so that’s what we’re looking out for,” he said.
“It’s too early to say with any confidence, however, there are some signs.
“Some models are suggesting that we could get cold air coming from the east, north-east which at this time of year is very cold indeed, but it’s by no means a guarantee.”
RAC Breakdown spokesman Rod Dennis said: “With colder conditions returning next week, there’s now a short window of opportunity for drivers to check their vehicles are winter-ready before the deep freeze returns.”
He urged people to check their tyres are properly inflated and have enough tread, to check oil and coolant levels and to have a good quality screen wash.