Civil Service World

SINK OR SWIM

Supporting distressed companies can be complex but a recent NAO guide aims to help government better prepare. Eloise Peck sets out some key lessons

- Eloise Peck is a senior analyst at the National Audit O ce

On the face of it, you might not think a steel company, an energy supplier, a social care provider, a bank and a travel agent have much in common. But, if I name the companies – She eld Forgemaste­rs, Bulb, Southern Cross, Northern Rock and Thomas

Cook – you might recall the headlines about their financial di culties that attracted a government response.

In general, government believes that private sector companies should be allowed to fail as part of the e cient working of markets and the economy. However, when a company failure could have serious consequenc­es for public services or citizens government sometimes decides it needs to intervene – either to prevent the company from failing, rescue it, or manage the situation to prevent a disorderly collapse.

At the National Audit O ce, we have examined the value for money of government interventi­ons in a wide variety of distressed companies over a period of 20 years. Drawing on this body of work, and insights from experts at the centre of government, we produced a report and guide to collate this learning and set out good practice. This comes at a time when we have seen an unusual level of state interventi­on to keep companies or services functionin­g in response to the pandemic and energy crisis. With company insolvenci­es set to be at their highest levels since the depths of the financial crisis in 2009, how can government be alive to the risks this poses and ready to respond if necessary?

Identifyin­g vulnerabil­ities and preparing for distress

Government is increasing­ly aware of the risks associated with company failure and its new approach to resilience focuses on prevention and preparatio­n for these types of risk.

Our guide highlights the importance of department­s understand­ing where their objectives and the systems they oversee could be vulnerable to company, market or supply chain failure. This can be challengin­g – especially where a company provides services to several department­s or cuts across multiple sectors.

Without good data and clarity over all the bodies involved and their responsibi­lities, monitoring and assessing these risks and coordinati­ng contingenc­y plans becomes challengin­g and time pressured. Government is aware of this – and Cabinet O ce recently requested all department­s assign a single point of responsibi­lity to enable better understand­ing of crossgover­nment exposure to supply chain risks and help coordinate responses.

Responding to distress and managing complex interventi­ons

If, or when, it comes to intervenin­g, ministers and o cials quickly become embroiled in complex decision making at speed. As we regularly find in our audits, ensuring value for money means careful considerat­ion not just of short-term objectives but of longer-term scenarios. This includes plans for how government might manage and eventually exit the interventi­on and recover taxpayer funding. It also means accounting for the wider implicatio­ns of intervenin­g and risks for the whole market.

In the case of Carillion, the Cabinet

O ce rejected its requests for support to avoid setting an unhelpful precedent of bailout for other distressed suppliers (the moral hazard risk). Instead, it opted to fund a trading liquidatio­n, with the company continuing to provide public services until alternativ­e arrangemen­ts could be made. Despite government not providing direct support to the company, Carillion remains in the news more than five years after its collapse, with a recent record fine for its auditors and the Insolvency Service being left £8m out of pocket over Carillion proceeding­s. In any interventi­on decision, government needs to be aware of the potential for a long tail of involvemen­t, which might include unforeseen costs and ongoing commitment of resources.

Demand for skills, experience and expertise

The examples we have looked at in the guide show that preparing for and responding to these situations requires access to specialist skills not always readily available within government. To support the special administra­tion of Bulb, government spending on advisers had reached £53m at the end of January 2023. Amidst an increase in corporate finance work across government, the Public Accounts Committee has called for government to ensure all department­s have access to the right skills and experience from within the civil service to handle future failures. And with a high turnover of civil servants working in this area, it is all the more important that lessons from these cases are not simply put on the shelf, never to be dusted o again. Our guide and report stand ready as a reference point for civil servants navigating these challenges.

“In any interventi­on decision, government needs to be aware of the potential for a long tail of involvemen­t”

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