Leaving could restore faith in democracy, says Carney
BREXIT could restore faith in free trade and democracy if the UK leaves with a deal, the Bank of England Governor has said.
In a statement sharply at odds with his previous warnings that Brexit would spark chaos, Mark Carney said a managed departure from the EU would show voters that they matter and encourage them to trust the parliamentary system again.
But he also warned that a No Deal Brexit would spark an economic shock – something which he says the whole world should be trying to avoid.
The Governor said millions of workers feel let down and left behind by globalisation – and the only solution is to give power back to the people.
He added that a Brexit deal may be a step towards a world where families are comfortable with free trade because they feel in control.
The Governor said: ‘ In many respects, Brexit is the first test of a new global order and could prove the acid test of whether a way can be found to broaden the benefits of openness while enhancing democratic accountability.’
He said Brexit could lead to new ‘international cooperation’, allowing for better crossborder trade deals and a more effective balance of ‘ local and supranational authority’.
Mr Carney’s backing for Brexit if a deal is struck marks a major change of tone.
He has long been accused by Eurosceptics of opposing our departure from the EU and whipping up Project Fear.
And in the run-up to the referendum, he was attacked for politicising the Bank of England when he claimed Brexit could trigger a recession.
Last year, Mr Carney claimed the vote to leave had cost households £900 each by damaging economic growth – and he has always been one of the loudest critics of No Deal.
The Bank also claimed No Deal could tip Britain into its worst recession for a century, knocking a third off house prices and triggering a dramatic surge in unemployment.
Mr Carney yesterday warned again that a deal is needed to avoid chaos – although he sounded more upbeat about the future following an orderly exit from the EU than he has done previously.
The Governor said Britain’s departure from the European Union comes at a time of growing risks for the global economy. The Canadian also said that No Deal would be ‘a shock for this economy’, and that UK investment has not grown since the referendum was called – telling his audience it had ‘dramatically underperformed’.
Mr Carney used his speech – given to senior business figures at London’s Barbican – to warn them that China is increasingly risky and businesses around the world are taking on worrying levels of debt.
He said: ‘ China is the one major economy in which all major financial imbalances have materially worsened. While China’s economic mira- cle over the past three decades has been extraordinary, its post- crisis performance has relied increasingly on one of the largest and longest running credit booms ever.’
A 3 per cent drop in the Chinese economy would shave 0.5 per cent off the UK, he warned.
On corporate debt, he said a surge in high- risk business lending has worrying echoes of the US boom in unsustainable loans which led to their financial crisis in 2008.
Firms which are less likely to pay money back are increasingly being lent large amounts, although the banking system is thought to be much less exposed to a downturn now than it was in 2008.
Mr Carney also took a swipe at Donald Trump, who has cracked down on imports from China. The US President once tweeted: ‘Trade wars are good and easy to win.’
But speaking yesterday, Mr Carney batted away Mr Trump’s casual brag, saying: ‘Contrary to what you might have heard, it isn’t easy to win a trade war.’
‘First test of new global order’