1 100 LABOUR SEATS WHERE BREXIT PARTY SUPPORTERS SHOULD VOTE TORY
NIGEL FARAGE’S Brexit party began the election campaign promising to stand candidates in every constituency. Farage, however, backtracked after complaints from many of his supporters that he could deprive the Conservatives of a majority, thereby putting Brexit at risk. The Brexit Party withdrew all its candidates from Conservative-held seats, but will be fighting Labourheld seats, some of which Boris Johnson needs to snatch if he is to win a majority. On Thursday, a number of Brexit Party MEPs resigned, and encouraged all Brexit Party supporters to vote Tory. The seats below are the ones the Conservatives have the best chance of winning from Labour — and where people who want to vote for the Brexit party should reconsider, and vote Conservative to make sure Brexit happens on January 31. It should be noted that according to a major YouGov poll last week, Nigel Farage’s party has no chance of winning in any of these constituencies. So these are crunch Labour-held seats where a Brexit Party vote, however well intentioned, is effectively a vote for Jeremy Corbyn . . . whose Brexit policy is nothing less than a shambles that will see Britain plunged into an acrimonious and costly second referendum.
1. ASHFIELD
2017: Lab majority 441 YouGov projection for 2019: Lab 32% Con 43% brexit 11%
Vote Lee Anderson to defeat Natalie Fleet
2. ASHTON-UNDER-LYNE
2017: Lab maj 11,295 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 33% brexit 15%
Vote Dan Costello to unseat Angela Rayner
3. BARNSLEY EAST
2017: Lab maj 13,283 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 27% brexit 24%
Vote Adam Gregg to unseat Stephanie Peacock
4. BATLEY AND SPEN
2017: Lab maj 8,961 2019 poll: Lab 44% Con 36% brexit 8%
Vote Mark Brooks to defeat Tracy Brabin
5. BARROW AND FURNESS
2017: Lab maj 209 2019 poll: Lab 35% Con 50% brexit 7%
Vote Simon Fell to defeat Chris Altree
6. BEDFORD
2017: Lab maj 789 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 40% brexit 6%
Vote Ryan Henson to unseat Mohammad Yasin
7. BIRMINGHAM ERDINGTON
2017: Lab maj 7,285 2019 poll: Lab 47% Con 36% brexit 8%
Vote Robert Alden to unseat Jack Dromey (pictured)
BIRMINGHAM NORTHFIELD
2017: Lab maj 4,667 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 40% brexit 7%
Vote Gary Sambrook to unseat Richard Burden
9. BISHOP AUCKLAND
2017: Lab maj 502 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 47% brexit 8%
Vote Dehenna Davison to unseat Helen Goodman
10. BLACKPOOL SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 2,523 2019 poll: Lab 37% Con 43% brexit 11%
Vote Scott Benton to unseat Gordon Marsden
11. BLYTH VALLEY
2017: Lab maj 7,915 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 37% brexit: 9%
Vote Ian Levy to defeat Susan Dungworth
12. BOLSOVER
2017: Lab maj 5,288 2019 poll: Lab 38% Con 42% brexit 12%
Vote Mark Fletcher to unseat Dennis Skinner
13. BOLTON NORTH EAST
2017: Lab maj 3,797 2019 poll: Lab 42% Con 41% brexit 9%
Vote Mark Logan to defeat David Crausby
14. BRADFORD SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 6,700 2019 poll: Lab 42% Con 37% brexit 12%
Vote Narinder Sekhon to unseat Judith Cummins
15. BURNLEY
2017: Lab maj 6,353 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 31% brexit 16%
Vote Antony Higginbotham to unseat Julie Cooper
16. BURY NORTH
2017: Lab maj 4,375 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 43% brexit 6%
Vote James Daly to unseat James Frith
17. BURY SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 5,965 2019 poll: Lab 40% Con 43% brexit 5%
Vote Christian Wakeford to defeat Lucy Burke
18. CARSHALTON & WALLINGTON
2017: LibDem maj 1,369 2019 poll: LD 41% Con 40% brexit 5%
Vote Elliot Colburn to unseat Tom Brake
19. CHESTERFIELD
2017: Lab maj 9,605 2019 poll: Lab 42% Con 36% brexit 9%
Vote Leigh Higgins to unseat Toby Perkins
20. CITY OF DURHAM
2017: Lab maj 12,364 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 32% brexit 9%
Vote William Morgan to defeat Mary Foy
21. CLWYD SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 4,356 2019 poll: Lab 41% Con 43% brexit 6%
Vote Simon Baynes to unseat Susan Elan Jones
22. COLNE VALLEY
2017: Lab maj 915 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 44% brexit 6%
Vote Jason McCartney to unseat Thelma Walker
23. COVENTRY NORTH WEST
2017: Lab maj 8,580 2019 poll: Lab 42% Con 40% brexit 7%
Vote Clare Golby to defeat Taiwo Owatemi
24. COVENTRY SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 7,947 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 40% brexit 5%
Vote Mattie Heaven to defeat Zarah Sultana
25. CREWE AND NANTWICH
2017: Lab maj 48 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 43% brexit 7%
Vote Kieran Mullan to unseat Laura Smith
26. CROYDON CENTRAL
2017: Lab maj 5,652 2019 poll: Lab 45% Con 39% brexit 4%
Vote Mario Creatura to unseat Sarah Jones
27. DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM
2017: Lab maj 4,652 2019 poll: Lab 38% Con 40% brexit 11%
Vote Damian White to unseat Jon Cruddas (above)
28. DARLINGTON
2017: Lab maj 3,280 2019 poll: Lab 41% Con 43% brexit 7%
Vote Peter Gibson to unseat Jenny Chapman
29. DELYN
2017: Lab maj 4,240 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 43% brexit 6%
Vote Rob Roberts to unseat David Hanson
30. DERBY NORTH
2017: Lab maj 2,015 2019 poll: Lab 36% Con 44% brexit 6%
Vote Amanda Solloway to defeat Tony Tinley
31. DEWSBURY
2017: Lab maj 3,321 2019 poll: Lab 41% Con 42% Brexit 6% Vote Mark Eastwood to unseat Paula Sherriff
32. DON VALLEY
2017: Lab maj 5,169 2019 poll: Lab 33% Con 41% Brexit 14% Vote Nick Fletcher to unseat Caroline Flint
33. DONCASTER CENTRAL
2017: Lab maj 10,131 2019 poll: Lab 40% Con 33% Brexit 15% Vote Roberto Weeden-Sanz to unseat Rosie Winterton
34. DONCASTER NORTH
2017: Lab maj 14,024 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 29% Brexit 19% Vote Katrina Sale to unseat Ed Miliband
35. DUDLEY NORTH
2017: Lab maj 22 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 46% Brexit 6%
Vote Marco Longhi to defeat Melanie Dudley
36. ELTHAM
2017: Lab maj 6,296 2019 poll: Lab 45% Con 38% Brexit 5%
Vote Louie French to unseat Clive Efford
37. ENFIELD NORTH
2017: Lab maj 10,247 2019 poll: Lab 46% Con 37% Brexit 5%
Vote Joanne Laban to defeat Feryal Clark
38. ENFIELD SOUTHGATE
2017: Lab maj 4,355 2019 poll: Lab 45% Con 40% Brexit 3%
Vote David Burrowes to unseat Bambos Charalambous
39. ERITH AND THAMESMEAD
2017: Lab maj 10,014 2019 poll: Lab 41% Con 38% Brexit 8%
Vote Joe Robertson to defeat Abena Oppong-Asare
40. GEDLING
2017: Lab maj 4,694 2019 poll: Lab 44% Con 41% Brexit 6%
Vote Tom Randall to unseat Vernon Coaker (above)
41. GOWER
2017: Lab maj 3,269 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 42% Brexit 5%
Vote Francesca O’Brien to unseat Tonia Antoniazzi
42. GREAT GRIMSBY
2017: Lab maj 2,565 2019 poll: Lab 37% Con 42% Brexit 13%
Vote Lia Nici to unseat Melanie Onn
43. HALIFAX
2017: Lab maj 5,376 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 36% Brexit 12%
Vote Kashif Ali to unseat Holly Lynch
44. HARTLEPOOL
2017: Lab maj 7,650 2019 poll: Lab 40% Con 31% Brexit 23%
Vote Stefan Houghton to unseat Mike Hill
45. HEMSWORTH
2017: Lab maj 10,174 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 33% Brexit 16% Vote Louise Calland to unseat Jon Trickett
46. HEYWOOD AND MIDDLETON
2017: Lab maj 7,617 2019 poll: Lab 40% Con 38% Brexit 14% Vote Chris Clarkson to unseat Liz McInnes
47. HIGH PEAK
2017: Lab maj 2,322 2019 poll: Lab 42% Con 42% Brexit 5% Vote Robert Largan to unseat Ruth George
48. HYNDBURN
2017: Lab maj 5,815 2019 poll: Lab 39%
Con 43% Brexit 10%
Vote Sarah Britcliffe to unseat Graham Jones
49. ILFORD NORTH
2017: Lab maj 9,639 2019 poll: Lab 47% Con 38% Brexit 4%
Vote Howard Berlin to unseat Wes Streeting
50. IPSWICH
2017: Lab maj 831 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 43% Brexit 7%
Vote Tom Hunt to unseat Sandy Martin
51. KEIGHLEY
2017: Lab maj 249 2019 poll: Lab 42% Con 43% Brexit 7%
Vote Robbie Moore to unseat John Grogan (above)
52. KINGSTON-UPON-HULL EAST
2017: Lab maj 10,396 2019 poll: Lab 40% Con 29% Brexit 21%
Vote Rachel Storer to unseat Karl Turner
53. KINGSTON-UPON-HULL WEST AND HESSLE
2017: Lab maj 8,025 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 31% Brexit 16%
Vote Scott Bell to unseat Emma Hardy
54. LANCASTER AND FLEETWOOD
2017: Lab maj 6,661 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 40% Brexit 6%
Vote Louise Thistlethwaite to unseat Cat Smith
55. LEIGH
2017: Lab maj 9,554 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 40% Brexit 12%
Vote James Grundy to unseat Joanne Platt (above)
56. LINCOLN
2017: Lab maj 1,538 2019 poll: Lab 44% Con 41% Brexit 7%
Vote Karl McCartney to defeat Karen Lee
57. LLANELLI
2017: Lab maj 12,024 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 27% Brexit 14%
Vote Tamara Reay to unseat Nia Griffith
58. MAKERFIELD
2017: Lab maj 13,542 2019 poll: Lab 44% Con 33% Brexit 13% Vote Nick King to unseat Yvonne Fovargue
59. NEWPORT EAST
2017: Lab maj 8,003 2019 poll: Lab 45% Con 35% Brexit 8% Vote Mark Brown to unseat Jessica Morden
60. NEWPORT WEST
2017: Lab maj 5,658 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 39% Brexit 7% Vote Matthew Evans to defeat Ruth Jones
61. NORMANTON, PONTEFRACT AND CASTLEFORD
2017: Lab maj 14,499 2019 poll: Lab 40% Con 32% Brexit 18% Vote Andrew Lee to unseat Yvette Cooper
62. NORTH WEST DURHAM
2017: Lab maj 8,792 2019 poll: Lab 43%
Con 34% Brexit 12%
Vote Richard Holden to unseat Laura Pidcock
63. OLDHAM EAST AND SADDLEWORTH
2017: Lab maj 8,182 2019 poll: Lab 42% Con 35% Brexit 12%
Vote Tom Lord to unseat Debbie Abrahams (above)
64. PENISTONE AND STOCKSBRIDGE
2017: Lab maj 1,322 2019 poll: Lab 34% Con 43% Brexit 12%
Vote Miriam Cates to defeat Francyne Johnson
65. PETERBOROUGH
2017: Lab maj 607 2019 poll: Lab 39% Con 43% Brexit 7%
Vote Paul Bristow to unseat Lisa Forbes
66. PLYMOUTH SUTTON AND DEVONPORT
2017: Lab maj 6,807 2019 poll: Lab 45% Con 40% Brexit 6%
Vote Rebecca Smith to unseat Luke Pollard
67. READING EAST
2017: Lab maj 3,749 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 39% Brexit 2%
Vote Craig Morley to unseat Matt Rodda
68. REDCAR
2017: Lab maj 9,485 2019 poll: Lab 41% Con 33% Brexit 13%
Vote Jacob Young to unseat Anna Turley
69. ROTHER VALLEY
2017: Lab maj 3,882 2019 poll: Lab 33% Con 40% Brexit 16%
Vote Alexander Stafford to defeat Sophie Wilson
70. ROTHERHAM
2017: Lab maj 11,387 2019 poll: Lab 43% Con 29% Brexit 19%
Vote Gerri Hickton to unseat Sarah Champion
71. SCUNTHORPE
2017: Lab maj 3,431 Lab 40% Con 42% Brexit 10%
Vote Holly Mumby-Croft to unseat Nic Dakin
72. SEDGEFIELD
2017: Lab maj 6,059 Lab 41% Con 40% Brexit 9%
Vote Paul Howell to unseat Phil Wilson
73. SHEFFIELD SOUTH EAST
2017: Lab maj 11,798 Lab 45% Con 33% Brexit 13% Vote Marc Bayliss to unseat Clive Betts
74. STALYBRIDGE AND HYDE
2017: Lab maj 8,084 Lab 43% Con 39% Brexit 7% Vote Tayub Amjad to unseat Jonathan Reynolds
75. STOCKTON NORTH
2017: Lab maj 8,715 Lab 42% Con 39% Brexit 11% n Vote Steven Jackson to unseat Alex Cunningham
76. STOCKTON SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 888 Lab 41% Con 47% Brexit 6% Vote Matt Vickers to unseat Paul Williams
77. STOKE-ON-TRENT CENTRAL
2017: Lab maj 3,897 Lab 39% Con 40% Brexit 13%
Vote Jo Gideon to unseat Gareth Snell
78. STOKE-ON-TRENT NORTH
2017: Lab maj 2,359 Lab 37% Con 42% Brexit 11%
Vote Jonathan Gullis to unseat Ruth Smeeth
79. STROUD
2017: Lab maj 687 Lab 43% Con 47% Brexit 3%
Vote Siobhan Baillie to unseat David Drew
80. TORFAEN
2017: Lab maj 10,240 Lab 45% Con 31% Brexit 12%
Vote Graham Smith to defeat Nick Thomas-Symonds
81. TYNEMOUTH
2017: Lab maj 11,666 Lab 46% Con 39% Brexit 6% Vote Lewis Bartoli to unseat Alan Campbell
82. VALE OF CLWYD
2017: Lab maj 2,379 Lab 41% Con 43% Brexit 6% Vote James Davies to unseat Chris Ruane
83. WAKEFIELD
2017: Lab maj 2,176 Lab 36% Con 47% Brexit 9% Vote Imran Ahmad-Khan to unseat Mary Creagh
84. WALSALL SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 8,892 Lab 43% Con 39% Brexit 8% Vote Gurjit Bains to defeat Valerie Vaz
85. WANSBECK
2017: Lab maj 10,435 Lab 44%
Con 32% Brexit 9%
Vote Jack Gebhard to unseat Ian Lavery
86. WARRINGTON NORTH
2017: Lab maj 9,582 Lab 42% Con 36% Brexit 10%
Vote Wendy Maisey to defeat Charlotte Nichols
87. WARRINGTON SOUTH 2017: Lab maj 2,549 Lab 41% Con 45% Brexit 4%
Vote Andy Carter to unseat Faisal Rashid
88. WARWICK AND LEAMINGTON
2017: Lab maj 1,206 Lab 39% Con 42% Brexit 3%
Vote Jack Rankin to unseat Matt Western
89. WEAVER VALE
2017: Lab maj 3,928 Lab 42% Con 42% Brexit 5%
Vote Adam Wordsworth to unseat Mike Amesbury
90. WENTWORTH AND DEARNE
2017: Lab maj 14,803 Lab 45% Con 33% Brexit 14%
Vote Emily Barley to unseat John Healey (above)
91. WEST BROMWICH EAST 2017: Lab maj 7,713 Lab 39% Con 40% Brexit 9%
Vote Nicola Richards to defeat Ibrahim Dogus
92. WEST BROMWICH WEST
2017: Lab maj 4,460 Lab 38% Con 41% Brexit 13%
Vote Shaun Bailey to defeat James Cunningham
93. WIRRAL SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 8,323
Lab 45% Con 39% Brexit 5%
Vote Stewart Gardiner to unseat Alison McGovern
94. WIRRAL WEST
2017: Lab maj 5,365 Lab 45% Con 39% Brexit 6%
Vote Laura Evans to unseat Margaret Greenwood
95. WOLVERHAMPTON NORTH EAST
2017: Lab maj 4,587 Lab 39% Con 43% Brexit 10%
Vote Jane Stevenson to unseat Emma Reynolds (above)
96. WOLVERHAMPTON SOUTH EAST
2017: Lab maj 8,514 Lab 45% Con 36% Brexit 11%
Vote Ahmed Ejaz to unseat Pat McFadden
97. WOLVERHAMPTON SOUTH WEST
2017: Lab maj 2,185 Lab 41% Con 47% Brexit 5%
Vote Stuart Anderson to unseat Eleanor Smith
98. WORKINGTON
2017: Lab maj 3,925 Lab 40% Con 41% Brexit 9%
Vote Mark Jenkinson to unseat Sue Hayman
99. WORSLEY AND ECCLES SOUTH
2017: Lab maj 8,379 Lab 42% Con 39% Brexit 8%
Vote Arnie Saunders to unseat Barbara Keeley
100. WREXHAM
2017: Lab maj 1,832 Lab 38% Con 42% Brexit 7%
Vote Sarah Atherton to defeat Mary Wimbury