UNIVERSITY OF WARWICK MODEL: DEATHS
Warwick’s death modelling on December 30 is extremely inaccurate, with the experts warning of around 3,000 daily Covid deaths – and maybe more than 4,000 – if Omicron was half as severe as Delta. They have actually peaked at just 243 over the past month. Warwick produced even more alarming estimates of up to 8,000 daily deaths if Omicron was as severe as Delta – and it still hugely overestimated the real death toll even in a scenario were it posed merely 10 per cent of the risk.