Daily Mail

It wasn’t luck but good judgment that’s let us cast off Covid curbs

- COMMENTARY by Professor Karol Sikora Karol Sikora is a consultant oncologist and professor of medicine at the University of Buckingham Medical School

Britain now faces what might be the most difficult moment of the pandemic. the question is not if it is too soon to lift Covid restrictio­ns but whether we have already left it too late to counter all the catastroph­ic effects of successive lockdowns.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is absolutely right to declare an end to scaremonge­ring and pointless precaution­s.

now the Government has to stand firm against the inevitable protests from those who prefer life under lockdown, in particular the medical scientists with a vested interest in perpetuati­ng the fear.

they are pointing to other countries such as australia and new Zealand where draconian restrictio­ns are still in force. We have to maintain the courage of our conviction­s.

time will prove us right, just as it has when we look back at the dictatoria­l stance taken by some European countries at the height of Covid. in Portugal, for instance, people were offered 100 euro bribes to inform on their neighbours if they suspected lockdown breaches.

We were able, most of the time, to hang on to our sense of proportion and so we achieved a rather British sort of polite lockdown, not police lockdown.

Our success in casting off restrictio­ns raised the question this weekend of whether we arrived here by luck or good judgment. in my view it is the latter – the refusal of the Government to take heed of doom-laden prediction­s from scientists about Omicron proved the right path. Make no mistake, though: Shutting down the hospitalit­y sector and ordering people to work from home were far less significan­t in defeating the virus than our outstandin­g vaccinatio­n programme. it is the triumphant success of the vaccines, implemente­d with an efficiency that was seen in few other countries worldwide, that puts us in such a strong position to lead the way and reopen for business.

My chief regret is that the scaremonge­ring was so heavy-handed. in Sweden, which sensibly held back from repeated lockdowns, fewer people were so frightened that they stopped seeking medical treatment for other conditions.

as a result, while attendance at Swedish accident and emergency department­s fell by 31 per cent, in the UK the decrease was almost double that, at 57 per cent.

as an oncology specialist, i am gravely worried by the steep reduction in cancer diagnoses during the past two years. Latest studies suggest there are an estimated 84,000 people in Britain who have cancer and don’t know it, because they haven’t reported their symptoms.

Some will be staying away from GPs and hospitals, reasoning wrongly that they are safer at home. Others might have tried to book appointmen­ts and failed, because the healthcare system is so clogged up.

WaitinG lists for all treatments are now longer than at any time in the history of the NHS. Official figures suggest 6million people are in the queue, or about one in nine adults. i fear the real figure is even higher, and could be as many as 10million, because so many people are afraid to report even the most serious symptoms – such as signs of a heart attack.

Because of this, we could be entering the most lethal phase of the pandemic, despite the fact that the virus itself is waning. two years of fear are beginning to impose a terrible toll. the best way to save lives now is to break free from all restrictio­ns and spread the news that Covid is largely over – thanks in great part to that stupendous success of the vaccine programme.

in February 2021, about one infection in 100 proved fatal. a year later, that figure is 20 times lower, at one in 2,000. there are fewer than 400 people intubated in intensive care, and 91 per cent of the most vulnerable cohort, the over-60s, have been triple jabbed with the vaccine.

Despite this, many scientists are calling for a continuati­on of Covid restrictio­ns, stoking the furnace of fear that has raged for two years.

it’s plain to see how frightened many people still are, because of the number still wearing masks in the street and in cars.

the Government needs instead to focus on repairing the damage. the institute for Fiscal Studies states that pupils in Britain face losing an average of £40,000 in earnings over their lifetimes – a total of £350billion.

those losses, i suspect, will hit the youngest and oldest worst, the ones who were just learning to read and the ones who were due to sit exams. But they will also be unfairly spread across social classes. Children from wealthier homes, who had access to good internet and calm environmen­ts for study, will have fared much better than poorer ones in overcrowde­d, noisy conditions.

We all lived through the same storm, but some of us were in spacious, comfortabl­e boats with plenty of provisions and others were in cramped, little rowing boats.

now that we’re getting back on to dry land, any further restrictio­ns would be an unforgivab­le betrayal of those children.

there’s a tough future facing all of us. We have to get on with it, and ignore the siren voices holding us back.

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