+++THE CHELTENHAM TRENDS: DAY TWO+++
BALLYMORE NOVICES’ HURDLE
The past 13 winners had won at least one bumper.
11 of the past 14 winners had won a graded novice hurdle.
Eight of the past nine winners were trained in ireland.
none of the last 20 Challow novices’ hurdle winners have won. hermes Allen heads the Britishtrained challenge, but he needs to overcome the dreaded Challow statistic and focusing on the leading irish contenders has proven to be fruitful in recent years. impaire Et Passe is hugely respected, stepping up in trip and remaining unbeaten over hurdles, but it isn’t easy for five-year-olds to win this race and a trends-based preference is for
GOOD LAND, who won a bumper at the start of the season and travelled very well en route to winning a grade One last time.
BROWN ADVISORY NOVICES’ CHASE
The past 21 winners had contested a graded novice chase.
The past 25 winners made their chasing debut before the turn of the year.
20 of the past 22 winners had between three to five chase starts.
23 of the past 27 winners spent just one season hurdling.
Dual Cheltenham winner sir gerhard would need to overcome the first two key trends if he is to complete the Festival hat-trick, while a lack of experience (two runs) is concerning with The Real Whacker. high-class hurdlers have a poor record in this race, which counts against Thyme hill, so preference is for the unbeaten GERRI COLOMBE who won the scilly isles last time, a race that L’homme Presse won en route to winning last year’s race.
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