+++ THE CHELTENHAM TRENDS: DAY FOUR +++

TRIUMPH HURDLE

■ Seven of the past 11 winners contested the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown.

■ Seven of the past 10 winners were trained in Ireland.

■ Six of the past eight winners started their careers in France.

■ only one of the past 13 winners had not contested a graded race last time out.

WILLIE MULLINS has a stranglehold on the market and, although Blood Destiny has looked good in winning both starts in Ireland, he lacks graded experience. The Spring Juvenile is often the best guide and of those seven recent winners, four were beaten at Leopardstown, so preference is for LOSSIEMOUTH over Gala Marceau.

ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES’ HURDLE

■ Sixteen of the 18 winners had won or placed in a graded novice hurdle.

■ Fifteen of the past 17 winners were aged six or seven.

■ Twelve of the 18 winners had won at least twice over hurdles.

■ Seven of the past 11 winners had won an Irish point-to-point.

ALTHOUGH he failed to win a point-to-point, Hiddenvalley Lake was unlucky to be carried out when leading at the last and conceding 6lb to stablemate Monty’s Star as he was beaten in a Grade Three last time. Embassy Gardens won a bumper (nine of the past 12 winners had won or placed in that sphere), but lacks graded form, the same as Mullins’ past two winners. CORBETTS CROSS looks to have the ideal profile for the race, judged on the highlighted key trends.

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