Edinburgh Evening News

How many points do Hibs need to secure a top six place?

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If you want a bit of a historical pointer for what the points threshold is likely to be to make the top six, a look at the last five full Scottish Premiershi­p campaigns (excluding the postponed Covid season that was shortened), the average points requiremen­t to make the top six after 33 games was 44 points.

So, if Hibs were to pick up a further three wins and a draw from their remaining five games, it should secure that top six point with room to spare.

In theory, Dundee have the best chance of catching Hibs, with Tony Docherty's side just one point behind and having played the same amount of games (28) as the Hibees. Mathematic­ally, Hibs require 15 points to guarantee a top six finish (or, if you prefer, they need to win all five games) or to match the results of Dundee/Motherwell to secure a top six finish.

Those 15 points would only be required for the top six if Dundee or Motherwell win all over their remaining games (including Motherwell's clash with Hibs on April 13), which would take a real effort for both and is highly unlikely.

A big game to keep an eye on is Dundee's clash with Motherwell on April 6. If that game was to end in a draw, the points Hibs would require will be less than 15, regardless of Dundee's results against Aberdeen and Rangers this week and Motherwell's game with Aberdeen on Saturday.

So, in essence, Hibs require 15 points to mathematic­ally guarantee a top six spot but, in reality, they just need to match the points haul of Dundee/ Motherwell, if we assume both Aberdeen and St Johnstone are too far gone.

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