EME Outlook

Asian Oil Demand to Hit a Record High, while Watching the Middle East’s Market

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Asian oil demand will hit a record in April, just as global crude values are lifted to levels not seen in three years by Middle East supply risks and top exporter Saudi Arabia withholdin­g output and noisily pushing for prices at $80 to $100 per barrel.

Most analysts have pointed to escalating Middle East conflicts, a crisis in Venezuela, and the supply cuts of Saudi Arabia and other producers as the main drivers.

“Rising tensions in the Middle East have likely played a role in oil price strength, but we believe a tight physical market is the key driver,” US investment bank Jefferies said in a note to clients.

Trade data in Thomson Reuters Eikon shows seaborne imports of crude oil by Asia’s main buyers will hit a record this month, a big portion going to slake China’s voracious thirst.

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