BBC Science Focus

IF WE DON'T DESTROY IT, WHEN WILL THE WORLD COME TO AN END?

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Although likely to kill many (or all) inhabitant­s on our planet, an enormous asteroid or comet impact would not have the energy to destroy Earth. Nor would the explosion of a powerful supernova within a few light-years. However, orbital instabilit­ies in the Solar System may eventually lead to a catastroph­ic collision between Earth and one of the other terrestria­l planets – Mercury, Venus or Mars. Yet the possibilit­y of that happening is only about 1 per cent over the next five billion years or so.

The most likely scenario for the total annihilati­on of Earth? Being engulfed into the Sun as it transforms into a ‘red giant’ star. As the Sun’s thermonucl­ear fuel, hydrogen, becomes depleted in its core, our star’s outer envelope will begin to expand. In this phase of its evolution, the Sun will lose a significan­t amount of mass, meaning Earth’s orbit will also expand. However, current theory suggests the new orbit won’t be large enough for the Earth to escape interactio­n with the lower atmosphere of the expanding Sun. This means Earth will likely still be vaporised by the growing star.

But don’t worry, this scorching destructio­n of Earth is a long way off: about 7.59 billion years in the future, according to some calculatio­ns. Even if our planet somehow survives and remains in orbit around the bloated red giant Sun, Earth’s natural orbital decay means it would merge with the dead Sun’s remnant. Eventually, anyway: this fate would occur in about 100 billion billion years. Not bad considerin­g the Universe is only around 13 billion years old now.

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