Geographical

IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE REGION

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Fossil fuels may have brought great wealth to the Gulf but this had come with its own more intangible price tag – the cost of exposing the region to related pollution and some of the worst extremes of the climate crisis. According to Iran’s Meteorolog­ical Organisati­on, the country’s greenhouse gas emissions have increased by three per cent in the past decade while the average temperatur­e has risen by 1.8°C since 1750, considerab­ly higher than the global average of 1.1°C.

‘Many countries are directly exposed to the negative effects of heightened air pollution and water contaminat­ion,’ says Oxford Energy’s Shehabi. ‘They will also be exposed to the effects of climate change – such as rising median temperatur­es, lower precipitat­ion, and sea level rise – which fossil fuelbased emissions are believed to accelerate.’ The fishery industry, historical­ly important across the Gulf and North Africa, is particular­ly vulnerable.

‘Gulf countries are the among the most vulnerable to climate change notably due to the scarcity in water,’ says Jreissati. ‘With increasing population, temperatur­e and heat wave intensity, water resources will take a heavy toll and more desalinati­on plants will need to be built. Climate mitigation is not only a necessity in the Middle East to combat global climate change, it is also an amazing opportunit­y. It will bring economic, social and environmen­tal benefits that are more than needed in our part of the world.’

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