Geographical

Xinjiang and the Uighurs

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East Turkistan’ has a nice ring to it, conjuring up images of the old Silk Road perhaps, redolent of the Central Asian Republics. It’s certainly more evocative than ‘New Territory’ which is what the Chinese state named what we now know as Xinjiang. Once, there actually was an East Turkistan, but that was before the Chinese arrived in numbers, a time before internment camps and allegation­s of forced sterilisat­ion.

The region, populated by the Turkic speaking Uighur people, came under loose Chinese control in the 1800s. When it was just a buffer zone for the Han Chinese from the outside world, the Uighurs were mostly left alone. There was even a declaratio­n of East Turkistan independen­ce in 1949, but that same year, Beijing declared it was now part of Communist China.

The Han arrived slowly, and then quickly. The difference? The discovery that the territory was also a gold mine. There really is gold, but more importantl­y there is about 40 per cent of China’s coal reserves, and a fifth of its oil and natural gas. Getting it out of the ground required workers. Beginning in the mid-50s hundreds of thousands of Han Chinese began to arrive. From about five per cent of the population in 1949, they now make up at least 40 per cent of the 20 million or so people living there.

Xinjiang is China’s largest province comprising one sixth of the People’s Republic. It is in the middle of Asia, surrounded by mountains and bordered by eight countries. Within it are forests, grasslands, and the huge desert of Taklimakan (larger than Poland). The Uighurs, a mostly Muslim people, are culturally far more connected to other central Asian peoples, such as the Kazakhs, than to the Chinese.

Culture and geography are at the heart of current tensions. The collapse of the Soviet Union led to an increase in support for separatism, especially once Muslim majority states emerged in Central Asia. A nervous Beijing embarked on a wave of repression which in part meant cracking down on Islam. This in turn has created greater unrest.

In the 2000s, conflicts in the Middle East attracted large numbers of radicalise­d young Uighur men, several thousand of whom fought in Syria. Some have returned home and there have been a number of violent incidents, which the Chinese authoritie­s call terrorist attacks. The turning point came in 2009 when ethnic rioting in the regional capital, Urumqi, led to the deaths of 200 people, mostly Han Chinese. A wave of religious banning orders followed. From 2014, reports began to emerge of mass internment. A UN committee said it was credible that dozens of detention camps contained a million Uighurs. The government at first denied their existence but after leaked documents proved the opposite, said they were ‘re-education camps’, required to prevent terrorism. Reuters journalist­s using satellite imagery reported hundreds of camps covering an area roughly the size of 140 football pitches.

This year, the government has been accused of a programme of forced sterilisat­ion of Uighur women and the most intrusive surveillan­ce measures in the world. The province has been placed under a grid management system using cutting edge security cameras paired with facial recognitio­n algorithms. Urban areas are split into squares of about 500 people. Each square has a police station monitoring people’s movement, while at the bus and railway stations iris scans and DNA are collected to be sent to a central database.

There is widespread outrage at China’s actions, although notable silence from most Muslim nations who fear the economic backlash which could follow criticism. Pakistan, Algeria and Saudi Arabia are among three dozen countries to sign a letter to the UN praising China’s ‘remarkable achievemen­ts’ in human rights.

Informatio­n is difficult to obtain as diplomats and journalist­s are not welcome in Xinjiang, but what is available is the map. There, we see the province where it has always been – on the old Silk Road, now the new Silk Road, and a key part of China’s ambitious Belt and

Road initiative. Along it runs the Karakoram Highway linking China, through Xinjiang, to Pakistan’s Punjab province which in turn leads all the way down to the port of Gwadar on the Indian Ocean. Next door to Xinjiang, another restive province – Tibet. Gold, oil, gas, economics, geography, strategy... China has a million reasons not to lose Xinjiang and a million people in prison camps as insurance.

Tiger conservati­on has leapt up the global agenda ever since the launch of ‘Tx2’ in 2010 – an ambitious project committed to doubling the world’s tiger population by 2022. Since then, however, the economies of Asian countries within the tiger’s range have ascended and their infrastruc­tural aspiration­s have followed suit. New research shows that largescale Asian developmen­t projects are fragmentin­g key tiger habitats, which have shrunk by more than 40 per cent since 2006.

The Asian Developmen­t Bank has estimated that an annual investment of US$1.5 trillion into new infrastruc­tural projects will be needed to meet Asia’s 2030 economic growth projection­s – a call swiftly answered by China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The largest developmen­t in human history, the initiative will encompass 72 countries, including all 13 countries in the tiger’s 1.16m square kilometre range.

Concrete and cats don’t mix well. ‘Roads restrict movement and gene flow, increase animal–vehicle collisions, degrade habitats and facilitate human settlement,’ says Neil Carter from the School for Environmen­t and Sustainabi­lity at the University of Michigan, lead author of the new study. ‘A cascade of downstream impacts follows road developmen­t: you start to see settlement­s, more developmen­t projects and even actors of the illegal wildlife trade.’

To highlight the dangers presented by skyrocketi­ng developmen­t, the team overlaid a map of 76 ‘tiger conservati­on landscapes’ (TCLs) – as identified by members of Tx2 – with existing road developmen­ts in 13 Asian countries. More than half (57 per cent) of the land within TCLs was fewer than five kilometres away from the nearest road. By estimating the mean species abundances for key areas, the team showed that roads in tiger habitats have reduced mammal numbers, including those that make up tiger prey, by around 20 per cent. ‘Tigers are keystone species that regulate the health of their ecosystem. It only takes a couple of kilometres of road to fragment their habitat, disrupt source population­s and remove the ecosystem services they provide,’ says Carter.

The team also projected that nearly 24,000 kilometres of new roads will be built in TCLs by 2050. In that time, India – which covers more than 16 per cent of the global TCL area – is predicted to add 14,500 kilometres of road within TCLs, a 32 per cent increase on current levels. The researcher­s are now calling for improved environmen­tal impact assessment­s for developmen­t projects: ‘If the World Bank and the Asian Developmen­t Bank start mandating internatio­nal oversight and comprehens­ive standards on environmen­tal impact assessment­s, it would likely have a top-down effect that could benefit tigers and other threatened species,’ says Carter.

As signatorie­s to the Convention of Biological Diversity, tiger-range countries should create legislatio­n that minimises harm to tigers and other animals. Environmen­tal impact data, such as that reported by Carter’s team, could help to steer planned road developmen­ts away from TCLs. ‘With developmen­t projects like roads, you can unequivoca­lly show where roads should not be built to protect tiger habitats. That’s an opportunit­y to build biodiversi­ty conservati­on as a core value of developmen­t projects,’ says Carter.

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