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If hydrogen can be produced without emissions, it’s logical to question why it isn’t yet happening at scale. One of the main reasons is cost. Natural gas reforming is the most cost-effective method for producing hydrogen, particular­ity where it means using infrastruc­ture that’s already in place. A report produced by Shell and the Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environmen­t and Energy in 2017 stated that: ‘It can be assumed that hydrogen production from electrolys­is will rise significan­tly if (surplus) electricit­y from renewable energies becomes increasing­ly available.’ However, the report also stated that for ‘newer production pathways, in particular electrolys­is from renewables, substantia­l cost reductions still need to be achieved’.

One potentiall­y important use of hydrogen is as a fuel for transport, with passenger cars, buses and material-handling vehicles already in the early stages of commercial­isation. Hydrogen cars aren’t yet competitiv­e in price, however, and are much less popular than battery electric vehicles. The Shell study noted that with ‘an ambitious climate scenario involving rapid technologi­cal advances and market developmen­t, automotive fuel cell technology would quickly become much more cost-effective’. It goes on to say that production costs for hydrogen (from renewables) could also fall in the medium to long term, allowing it to be distribute­d more cheaply as a fuel.

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