WHO warns that climate change could spread malaria
Climate change, and the extreme weather events it brings, could raise global malaria rates, the World Health Organization (WHO) warned on 30 November 2023. “The changing climate poses a substantial risk to progress against malaria, particularly in vulnerable regions,” said WHO director-general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. “Sustainable and resilient malaria responses are needed now more than ever, coupled with urgent actions to slow the pace of global warming and reduce its effects.”
In its latest World Malaria Report, the WHO estimated that there were 249 million cases of the mosquito-spread disease in 2022, up from about 244 million in 2021 and a similar number in 2020. That was 16 million more cases than seen in 2019, when malaria cases hit a trough just before the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted malaria prevention efforts worldwide. Most of the 5 million additional malaria cases between 2021 and 2022 happened in five countries: Pakistan, Nigeria, Uganda, Ethiopia and Papua New Guinea. Pakistan saw the largest increase at 2.6 million cases, compared to 500,000 in 2021. The uptick was tied to the destructive flooding that plunged much of Pakistan underwater, providing new breeding grounds for mosquitoes. “With the very heavy monsoons we expected these consequences, but not up to this magnitude,” Dr Muhammad Mukhtar, director of Pakistan’s national malaria control program, said. The standing water left from the monsoons, coupled with displaced people having nowhere to hang mosquito nets, has triggered the uptick in malaria. “The places that are most affected are the places that have the least infrastructure to respond to these sorts of events,” said Ross Boyce, an assistant professor of medicine and epidemiology at the University of North Carolina. “I do think it’s going to become an increasing contributor to the global malaria burden.”
In addition to the direct effects of climate change, such as extreme flooding in places where malaria is endemic, indirect effects may also drive up malaria cases, the WHO noted. For instance, climate-related disasters could reduce people’s access to essential malaria services and cause disruptions in the supply chain of insecticide-treated nets, antimalarial medicines and vaccines.
Despite the recent surge in infection, malaria deaths fell to 608,000 in 2022 from a recent high of 631,000 in 2020, although this rate still outpaces pre-pandemic levels. Prior to the pandemic, in 2019, the death rate had been driven down to 576,000.