Scottish Daily Mail

Tell Sid he’s made a return of 2,650pc

Centrica’s had a rough ride but investors still cashed in

- by Matt Oliver

APoSTMAN is cycling through a sleepy little village when a man rushes out of one of the houses and bowls him over.

‘oh, I’m glad you’re here!’ beams the man. ‘This will interest you: British Gas shares, they come out in November. If you see Sid, tell him!’

It is one of the most memorable slogans from the 1980s. And about 1.5m followed the advice, buying shares in the newly-privatised British Gas for 135p a pop.

The £9bn share offer was the largest ever at the time and marked a key moment in Margaret Thatcher’s crusade to make Britain a nation of stock owners.

Her government vowed to ‘roll back the frontiers of the state’ and put taxpayer-owned companies in private hands that could ostensibly run them more efficientl­y.

Mrs Thatcher’s astonishin­g string of sell-offs included Jaguar, British Aerospace (now BAE Systems), British Telecom (now just BT), British Steel, British Petroleum (BP these days), British Airways (part of Internatio­nal Consolidat­ed Airlines Group today), Rolls-Royce, regional water firms and, of course, British Gas.

OvERAll, the policy was deemed a success and it was copied by many of Europe’s largest economies. But there have been hiccups as well. To see evidence of that, look no further than the current turmoil at British Steel, or the political outcry over huge dividends paid by water companies while their owners loaded them up with

debts. But what about those who joined Sid to snap up British Gas stock? looking at parent company Centrica’s recent troubles – including a £446m loss in the first half of this year, announced along with the departure of boss Iain Conn – and an exodus of energy customers, you might be forgiven for thinking you had picked a dud.

But thanks to a complicate­d series of deals that have happened since the privatisat­ion, the picture is much rosier than it seems.

A retail investor who bought 500 British Gas shares for £675 would have shares in Centrica, National Grid and Shell, as well as cash from the takeover of BG Group.

All told, these holdings would be worth about £18,500 today according to analysis by stockbroke­r AJ Bell – quite the nest egg. That is a return on investment of around 2,650pc, compared to 1,510pc gained by the FTSE 100 since December 1986. Another privatisat­ion that attracted a small army of retail investors is British Telecom, but that has produced more mixed results.

Since its stock market float in 1985, the company’s shares have risen just 18.2pc overall and are today languishin­g at 158.94p, far below the high of 1058.7p reached in December 1999.

It means someone who bought 500 shares when it floated for 130p each, for a total of £650, would have about £831.60 today.

HowEvER, BT is a widely-held dividend stock and so investors have benefited from that as well. After the poor performanc­e of shares under boss Gavin Patterson, replacemen­t Philip Jansen has vowed to go back to basics and restore BT’s mojo.

But should shareholde­rs hold their nerve or sell now?

Joe Healey, investment research analyst at The Share Centre, says the firm could be seen as undervalue­d at the moment and is worth holding on to.

The latest privatisat­ion was Royal Mail in 2013, but this was not treated with as much fanfare as British Gas. For a minimum investment of £750, members of

the public could acquire 227 shares in the company at 330p each.

But these days Royal Mail shares are languishin­g below 200p due to concerns about its cost-cutting programme, faster-than-expected declines in letter posting and the labour Party’s threat to renational­ise the firm if Jeremy Corbyn wins power. It means an investor who bought in at the minimum threshold and held on to the shares would have seen their holding plunge in value from £750 to just £442.

The grim record of the UK’s most recent privatisat­ion will surely give investors pause for thought when the opportunit­y finally arises to buy shares in Royal Bank of Scotland. The High Street lender has been partly state-owned since the 2008 financial crisis, when the Government bailed it out to the tune of £45bn.

But the bank’s balance sheet is in a far better state, and the Treasury is expected to sell more of its 62pc stake in coming months.

Any sale will be painful for taxpayers, who pumped in money at 502p per share. Today, the stock is worth just 183.7p.

Even though BT and Royal Mail have turned out to be laggards in recent years, other investment­s such as British Gas have yielded much better results.

That is certainly something worth telling Sid about.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United Kingdom