Scottish Daily Mail

Slowdown fears pile pressure on pound

- By Archie Mitchell

THE pound slumped as the prospect of a recession loomed amid a slew of poor economic news.

Data revealed a sharp slowdown in business activity while separate figures showed grocery prices rising at the fastest rate in 13 years.

The closely watched S&P Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell sharply in May to 51.8.

It was a drop from 57.6 in April and its lowest level since last February and the fourth sharpest slowdown on record.

The PMI measures the direction of economic trends in the manufactur­ing and services sector, with any reading under 50 representi­ng a contractio­n.

The service sector, which includes the travel industry and media and entertainm­ent, suffered the most as customers reined in spending in the face of uncertaint­y sparked by soaring inflation amid the war in Ukraine.

Thomas Pugh, economist at business advisory firm RSM UK, said a recession would likely be avoided by Government support and strong finances built up by households during the pandemic.

But he said: ‘This is a clear sign that the economy looks set to worsen after contractin­g by 0.1pc month-to-month in March.’

Analysts also said the PMI data raised the prospect of stagflatio­n, when slow growth is accompanie­d by rocketing prices.

The pound sank on the news, dropping against the dollar exchange by 0.4pc, to $1.25.

Figures from consulting firm Kantar showed grocery price inflation hitting 7pc, its highest level since May 2009.

More than a fifth of households say they are struggling to make ends meet, with almost all of these blaming the cost of a weekly shop.

Meanwhile only one in three shoppers consider themselves to be in a ‘comfortabl­e’ financial situation, Kantar found.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United Kingdom