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on a no deal.

“I would urge col­leagues to back the deal.”

MPs are to hold five days of de­bate from De­cem­ber 4 be­fore vot­ing on a mo­tion pro­posed by the Prime Min­is­ter to ap­prove the Brexit with­drawal agree­ment.

But it’s un­clear what will hap­pen if the Com­mons re­jects the agree­ment.

Pos­si­bil­i­ties in­clude a gen­eral elec­tion, which could be held if two thirds of MPs vote for one.

An elec­tion would also prob­a­bly take place if the Com­mons passed a mo­tion of “no con­fi­dence” in the Gov­ern­ment, which re­quires a sim­ple ma­jor­ity.

Other op­tions in­clude hold­ing a sec­ond ref­er­en­dum. The num­ber of MPs back­ing this op­tion has grown, but it’s far from cer­tain that a ma­jor­ity of MPs would sup­port this.

Al­ter­na­tively, it’s pos­si­ble that Mrs May could re­turn to the EU and at­tempt to re-open ne­go­ti­a­tions.

And as things stand, the UK is set to leave the EU on March 29, 2019, whether a deal is agreed or not (thanks to leg­is­la­tion ap­proved by Labour as well as Tory MPs in 2017). It means a ‘no-deal’ Brexit is pos­si­ble. Gov­ern­ment anal­y­sis pub­lished this week showed that the North East will be poorer un­der Mrs May’s pro­posed Brexit deal than if we stayed in the EU, with the econ­omy up to 2% smaller.

The fig­ures don’t take into ac­count the pos­si­ble im­pact of a huge cut in mi­gra­tion to the UK from Europe, which would do more dam­age to the econ­omy.

But leav­ing the EU with­out a deal would cause far more dam­age ac­cord­ing to the Gov­ern­ment’s fore­casts, and would mean the North East econ­omy was more than 10% smaller than if we sim­ply stayed in the EU, within 15 years of Brexit tak­ing place. Laura Pid­cock Ian Lav­ery against. Liz Twist, Labour. Will vote against. Ron­nie Camp­bell, Labour. Will vote against. Roberta Black­man-Woods, Labour. Will vote

Gra­hame Mor­ris, Labour. ”I’ll be vot­ing against on the ba­sis that I don’t think it rep­re­sents a good deal for my con­stituents.”

Si­mon Clarke, Con­ser­va­tive. In a state­ment on his web­site he said: “My po­si­tion is this deal would be a dis­as­ter for our coun­try and would likely lock us into the back­stop ar­range­ment where we would be an EU rule-taker and un­able to leave with­out their per­mis­sion. I will not vote for it.”

Whip. Will vote against. Ni­cholas Brown, Labour’s Chief

Chi On­wu­rah, Labour. Will vote against. She said: “I will not vote for a Brexit deal which does not meet Labour’s six tests – the tests are sim­ply what the Tory gov­ern­ment promised Brexit would de­liver and what our econ­omy re­quires.” Ke­van Jones, Labour. Will vote against. Mary Glin­don, Labour. Will vote against. Laura Pid­cock, Labour. ”Due to the im­mense sig­nif­i­cance of the vote in Par­lia­ment, I have al­ready made plans to travel to Lon­don on the 11th of De­cem­ber to cast my vote against Theresa May’s Brexit deal. Al­though I’m on ma­ter­nity leave, and do not re­turn to work un­til Jan­uary, I felt it was im­por­tant to be there, to vote in per­son.” Anna Tur­ley, Labour. Will vote against. Phil Wil­son, Labour. Will vote against. Emma Lewell-Buck, Labour. ”Theresa May is try­ing to black­mail MPs to sup­port her rub­bish deal by threat­en­ing even more dam­age if we don’t. This is a Tory mess. Now they want Labour to agree with their ridicu­lous plan. The Prime Min­is­ter’s deal won’t work and I cer­tainly won’t be vot­ing for it.” Labour. Will vote against. We were not able to con­tact the fol­low­ing MPs: Stephen Hep­burn, Labour. Jenny Chapman, Labour. Julie El­liott, Labour.

Anne Marie Trevelyan, Con­ser­va­tive. Mrs Trevelyan re­signed from her role as a Par­lia­men­tary Pri­vate Sec­re­tary in the De­part­ment for Ed­u­ca­tion, say­ing she could not sup­port Mrs May’s Brexit plans.He­len Good­man, Labour. Has said she op­poses the deal be­cause with a con­stituency that em­braces man­u­fac­tur­ing in­dus­tries she wants to re­main in the cus­toms union. Ian Mearns, Labour. Will vote against. Mike Hill, Labour. ”I will be vot­ing against it as it stands. That re­flects the ma­jor­ity view of both leavers and re­main­ers who have kindly can­vassed me en masse, and that is also my per­sonal choice.” Guy Op­per­man, Con­ser­va­tive. Will vote in favour. Brid­get Phillip­son, Labour. In a New States­man ar­ti­cle, she said: “I can­not sup­port a deal which I be­lieve will make my con­stituents poorer.” Andy McDon­ald, Labour. A mem­ber of Labour’s Shadow Cab­i­net. Will vote against. Cather­ine McKin­nell, Labour. Will vote against. Alex Cun­ning­ham, Labour. Will vote against. Paul Wil­liams, Labour. ”Which­ever way peo­ple voted two years ago, no­body voted for this. It’s a much worse deal than the one we al­ready have in the EU. I can’t sup­port some­thing that would give us less con­trol and that would – ac­cord­ing to busi­nesses – lead to job losses across the North East.” Alan Camp­bell, Labour. ”I will be vot­ing against May’s deal in the Mean­ing­ful Vote. It nei­ther does what Leave vot­ers voted for nor does it pro­vide the nec­es­sary re­as­sur­ance to Re­main vot­ers, and oth­ers, that a long-term deal would not cause unac­cept­able eco­nomic harm.” Ian Lav­ery, Labour Chair. Will vote against. Sharon Hodg­son,

Si­mon Clarke

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