What could hap­pen in a big week for West­min­ster

Sunderland Echo - - News -

Theresa May’s Brexit plans are due to be put to the Com­mons fol­low­ing a five-day de­bate in West­min­ster.

The vote had been sched­uled to take place in De­cem­ber but was called off at the 11th hour with Gov­ern­ment vic­tory look­ing un­likely.

MPs con­tinue to be di­vided on the plans, with a num­ber of pro-Re­main­ers call­ing for Mrs May’s deal to be voted down, and some ardent Leavers push­ing for the same re­sult to en­sure a nodeal Brexit.

Here’s a look at what could hap­pen fol­low­ing to­mor­row’s vote:

The sim­plest out­come to plot comes if Gov­ern­ment wins the vote on the With­drawal Agree­ment.

In this in­stance, the UK would leave the Euro­pean Union on March 29.

But should Mrs May’s deal be voted down, then a whole host of sce­nar­ios could play out.

An amend­ment passed by Par­lia­ment means that the Gov­ern­ment must come back with their Plan B three days fol­low­ing the vote.

The prospect of Labour putting for­ward a vote of no con­fi­dence in Mrs May has been mooted and a gen­eral elec­tion could take place should the Gov­ern­ment lose.

The Gov­ern­ment could also ask for an ex­ten­sion to Ar­ti­cle 50 – which would have to be agreed by the re­main­ing 27 mem­bers of the bloc – ei­ther from the cur­rent Gov­ern­ment or in the in­stance that a new Prime Min­is­ter was ap­pointed ei­ther fol­low­ing a vote of no con­fi­dence or should Mrs May re­sign.

Should the EU not agree to a post­pon­ing of Brexit, then the UK would leave the EU with­out a deal on March 29. Any in­com­ing Prime Min­is­ter could also agree that the UK would be best served by trad­ing on World Trade Or­gan­i­sa­tion terms.

The big un­known is if the EU agrees to an ex­ten­sion of Ar­ti­cle 50 and there is the po­ten­tial for ne­go­ti­a­tions to be re­opened.

This plan B could in­clude dis­cus­sion about a free trade agree­ment, cus­toms union, mem­ber­ship of the sin­gle mar­ket and even a new ref­er­en­dum on the deal.

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