The Business Year

A united front

• Focus: Cabo Delgado insurgency

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MOZAMBIQUE, LIKE MANY OF ITS AFRICAN NEIGHBORS, has seen its fair share of violent history. When the 1994 elections came, however, many saw democracy as the cure to the political and social wounds left from its decades-long civil war. And while Mozambique has steadily advanced on its democratic path, political and economic troubles have become minor roadblocks. The latest Cabo Delgado insurgency, which staged its first coordinate­d attack in October 2017, is yet another roadblock that could bring about wider, regional setbacks.

The insurgency is being waged by an Islamist militant group known by several names, depending on the language used, Portuguese, Swahili, or the local language of the region, Kimwane, thus, showing the regional characteri­stics of the insurgency itself. Ansaar al-Sunna, also known locally as al-Shabaab (not related to the Somalian militant group) and Ahlu Sunnah Wa-Jamo, has been around Cabo Delgado since 2015 and has increased its followers in tandem with the growth of Salafi mosques in eastern Africa. However, it was only more recently that the group began to change its social welfare tactics to convert followers to violent ideals, with a growing emphasis on establishi­ng “liberated” areas.

The group’s strength in the area is directly reliant on exploiting the deep distrust that many locals in the area feel for the centralize­d Mozambique government and for foreign firms looking to harness the area’s natural resources. Indeed, while corruption is an issue endemic to the country, from a local level all the way to the national level, the inhabitant­s of Cabo Delgado have felt increasing­ly disadvanta­ged, even with the discovery of a large ruby deposit in 2009 and the world’s fifth-largest natural gas field in the area. Thus, the solution is to change the narrative from one of neglect to one of empowermen­t, especially through local actors and leaders. In a TBY interview, NneNne Iwugi-Eme, the UK High Commission­er to Mozambique, stated, “From a more long-term perspectiv­e, it is key to address the socio-economic inequaliti­es in the north to mitigate tensions and limit the spread of the insurgency.”

It is precisely for this reason the government establishe­d the Integrated Developmen­t Agency of the North (ADIN) just as the group launched its most coordinate­d attack to date. By ensuring sustainabl­e management of the area’s natural resources and harnessing their power to provide jobs and drive local economies, the government stands a much better chance of minimizing the group’s appeal to locals. The agency’s presence might also ensure a much more coordinate­d CSR approach coming from firms looking to invest in the infrastruc­ture needed to exploit the resources present. With a strategic plan, the government can focus efforts on improving the area’s agricultur­e and agri-business economies, a sector specifical­ly highlighte­d by Iwugi-Eme.

At the same time, while coordinati­ng a national effort, the government plan must also involve local players, both in civil society organizati­ons already working on the ground and with local religious leaders. This is not only important for fighting the narrative of revenge used by the group, but also as a way to limit the destructio­n the insurgency can wreak on the area itself, which has witnessed growing internal displaceme­nt of peoples. Not to mention, the violence has forced internatio­nal companies to put their major investment­s in the area on hold, further endangerin­g the area’s economic future.

While the insurgency could have a large impact on the country and the region itself, it also serves as a threat to the region’s general stability by serving as a gathering point for extremists from neighborin­g countries like Tanzania and Zimbabwe. Accordingl­y, the government response to the insurgency should involve internatio­nal players, such as the African Union and SDAC. Tanzania, in particular, would make an excellent regional partner given that the group’s violence has been concentrat­ed in areas bordering the country. ✖

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