The Daily Telegraph

India’s truckers on the road to brighter future as barriers fall

- DAVID CORNELL David Cornell is the chief investment officer of Ocean Dial Asset Management

As we fret about the UK’S creaking motorway infrastruc­ture and the spectre of mild chaos for road haulage after Brexit, we can at least cheer ourselves up by looking at India. For now. Until very recently a truck hauling tea from the gardens of Darjeeling to the 10 million-plus tipplers 932 miles away in New Delhi would take about 10 days.

By contrast, lettuces grown on farms around the horticultu­ral hub of southern Spain routinely transit the 1,367 miles to the plates of London’s salad lovers in two to three days.

About 60pc of the journey time of an Indian truck is spent stationary. Logistics costs in India are 14pc of GDP compared to about 8pc for advanced economies.

What are they getting so wrong in India? The biggest culprit historical­ly is India’s byzantine maze of domestic taxes. Differing sales and value-added taxes across India’s 29 states, including some city levies too, forced trucks to stop at multiple border checkpoint­s. Officials and tax inspectors routinely checked loads, waybills and other documents. Real or imaginary non-compliance exposed drivers – and therefore truck owners and businesses – to corruption and delay.

As trucks queued up for hours or even days, the border posts became townships in their own right. All manner of refreshmen­ts were available while drivers queued, paid up and awaited the nod of officialdo­m to allow them on their way.

These differing tax regimes hit companies hard. Take Emami, a market leader in niche consumer goods. It had to set up multiple warehouses and distributi­on hubs in different states. This meant raw materials might traverse the country to a factory with the best tax breaks in one state, only for finished products to come all the way back to be sold in bigger markets near where the raw materials were first sourced. The roadblocks and checkpoint­s had to be endured each way.

It also prevented companies from choosing logistical­ly efficient locations that could service consumers across many geographie­s. In turn this added layer upon layer of warehousin­g, transport and distributi­on costs, to say nothing of the administra­tive and bureaucrat­ic hassles involved in accounting for all these difference­s. Contrast this with the UK, US or Europe, where even the largest consumer companies concentrat­e their distributi­on hubs strategica­lly – for example, Procter and Gamble has only six mega-distributi­on centres to service all 48 mainland US states.

But at last things have changed. In 2016 prime minister Narendra Modi’s government took a big step towards resolving this situation by passing the historic Goods and Services Tax Act, which modifies and harmonises state and central taxes and introduces a whole new regime of registrati­on and compliance.

Its introducti­on will see the physical barriers to transit for most products replaced by an electronic collection of input and output taxes, which are then shared between state and central government­s. The GST Act was launched at a special midnight session of the Indian parliament on July 1, 2017, so it is now more than a year old. It has not been the smoothest of transition­s. It has involved an IT exercise of mammoth proportion­s with an estimated 10 million businesses registerin­g for the new electronic­ally administer­ed tax. The barriers have been coming down, however, and the system is beginning to bed down.

Most significan­tly it has brought a huge number of businesses into the tax net, as failure to register makes it impossible to charge GST when you sell, or reclaim GST when you buy. The level of cash “leakage” in the economy (what we know as the black economy) has been reduced, and the Indian government’s tax take should rise, to say nothing of the huge cache of data this will create on economic activity throughout India.

The more recently introduced Electronic Waybill Act further reduces unaccounte­d-for transits and cash leakage as goods travel between states. Like GST, the initial implementa­tion has been imperfect, but is improving.

Economists have estimated that in time the GST could raise India’s GDP growth rate by 1.5pc, while logistics experts suggest truck journey times will reduce by up to 20pc. Bypassing bottleneck­s and consolidat­ing warehouses should further improve transport efficienci­es and reduce costs.

Haulage in India is not about to match the efficiency levels of the UK any time soon, but the direction of improvemen­t is clear.

Emami and other consumer companies have focused on rejigging their distributi­on relationsh­ips first, and are now focusing on their supply-chain reorganisa­tion, so the benefits will play out over some time. Consumers should benefit too as the GST laws restrict excessive profiteeri­ng from the new tax regime.

So now a truck driver from Darjeeling should have a much swifter journey to Delhi. Improved physical infrastruc­ture will also help. As both GST and the expressway investment show, there are few smooth passages to Indian investment but, like a nice cup of Darjeeling tea, and with a potential market of 1.4 billion Indian consumers, it should certainly be worth the wait.

‘The Indian government’s tax take should rise, to say nothing of the huge cache of data this will create’

 ??  ?? A worker sits on the back of a banana truck in Jalandhar, India. Labyrinthi­ne local and state taxes can add days to some journeys
A worker sits on the back of a banana truck in Jalandhar, India. Labyrinthi­ne local and state taxes can add days to some journeys
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