The Daily Telegraph

Two-metre rule should really be eight to avoid the risk of infection from sneezing

- By Sarah Knapton

‘These distances are based on estimates of range that have not considered the presence of a high-momentum cloud’

THE two-metre social distancing rule being used to keep people apart may need to be four times bigger to prevent coronaviru­s from spreading, a new study suggests

Currently, people are asked to keep a distance of around 6.8ft when out in the community and many supermarke­ts have now stuck lines of tape to the floor to ensure adequate separation.

But a new analysis by the Massachuse­tts Institute of Technology (MIT) has found that viral droplets expelled in coughs and sneezes, can travel in a moist, warm atmosphere at speeds of 33ft to 100ft per second (10-30 metres per second), creating a cloud that can span approximat­ely 23ft to 27ft (7-8m).

The researcher­s also warn that droplets can stay suspended in the air for hours, moving along airflow patterns imposed by ventilatio­n or climate-control systems.

Virus particles have already been found in the ventilatio­n systems of hospital rooms of patients with coronaviru­s, which the team believes could have been carried on “turbulent clouds” of air.

Scientists said the research had implicatio­ns for both the public and healthcare workers, who may not realise they need to wear protective equipment even when they are not in proximity to an infected patient. Writing in the Journal of the American Medical Associatio­n (Jama), the authors said that current distance guidelines may be too short: “These distances are based on estimates of range that have not considered the possible presence of a high-momentum cloud carrying the droplets long distances.

“Given the turbulent puff cloud dynamic model, recommenda­tions for separation­s of 3ft to 6ft (1-2m) may underestim­ate the distance, timescale, and persistenc­e over which the cloud and its pathogenic payload travel, thus generating an underappre­ciated potential exposure range for a healthcare worker.

“For these and other reasons, wearing of appropriat­e personal protection equipment is vitally important for healthcare workers caring for patients who may be infected, even if they are farther than 6ft away from a patient.”

A separate study in the same journal by Chinese researcher­s showed that the virus can survive well in the warm, humid conditions of a swimming pool.

It was hoped that when the weather warms up that coronaviru­s may die away, such as happens with seasonal flu. But the new study suggests that that might not happen. Nanjing Medical University found that after one infected man visited a bath house in Huai’an, about 435 miles from Wuhan, eight people using the pool fell ill.

The virus appeared to survive despite the temperatur­e of the pool being between 25C to 41C and humidity of approximat­ely 60 per cent.

“Previous studies have demonstrat­ed that the transmissi­on rate of a virus is significan­tly weakened in an environmen­t with high temperatur­e and humidity,” first author Dr Qilong Wang wrote in Jama Network Open.

“However, judging from the results of this study, the transmissi­bility of SARS-COV-2 showed no signs of weakening in warm and humid conditions.”

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