The Herald

Reflection­s on who will be the losers if Brexit does come to pass

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I WONDERED about who might be happy and who might suffer from Brexit if and when it comes to pass.

One group that campaigned for it was the fishermen; I suspect that they foresee the reins of Brussels being relaxed on catches and the foreign fishermen being shut out. Some might hope that they can go back to catching everything that swims. I suspect, however, that UK negotiator­s will sell off our fisheries, as they did before, as part of the cost of keeping “passportin­g” for the financial services industry.

The mobile phones industry will be rubbing their hands, as once out of the EU as they will be able to bang up the cost of roaming calls to anybody that wants to use their phone anywhere abroad, including Europe, where roaming is slowly being eradicated.

There is no doubt that the financial services industry will be OK. The UK will move heaven and earth to ensure they continue to have access into Europe. It may cost us our fishing and a large amount of cash every year, but that will be seen as worthwhile.

Some of our right-wing politician­s are over the moon. The only reason we had the referendum was to play to the xenophobia of many of these people. If they can achieve a “hard Brexit” we will be on an isolated island where Johnnie Foreigner will not be welcomed and, if they get their way, we will repatriate many that are already here. I suspect that will not come to pass as our leaders realise that there are some millions of our expats now living throughout Europe. It would be inconceiva­ble that they are, in turn, sent back here.

On the other hand, those trying to trade into Europe may find it very difficult. They will be faced with at least many more barriers and hurdles in their way and perhaps import taxes to pay, which will make them uncompetit­ive.

Much of our seasonal work is now done by foreign migrants and many industries will struggle to cope. We are no longer able to get UK citizens to work in the fields or the tourism industry. The percentage of foreigners working in our NHS is very high and we still struggle to recruit enough trained profession­als to meet the need.

I wonder how things will go when those we have now are subjected to more frequent racist attacks and the stories get about that newcomers are less than welcome?

At least there is a possible lifeboat for us here in Scotland. DS Blackwood, 1 Douglas Drive East, Helensburg­h.

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