The Herald

Obesity killer to overtake smoking

- HELEN MCARDLE HEALTH CORRESPOND­ENT

FRESH calls have been made for a crackdown on the sale of junk food as research suggests obesity is set to overtake smoking as the biggest preventabl­e cause of cancer among UK women.

Campaigner­s say the projection­s also strengthen the case for a wider calorie labelling and calorie limits on takeaway food.

The calculatio­ns, drawn up by epidemiolo­gists at Cancer Research UK, predict that the number of female cancer cases in the UK linked to obesity will exceed the number caused by smoking for the first time in 2045.

It reflects a long-standing decline in smoking rates, while the percentage of adults who are overweight or obese has been climbing.

In Scotland, obesity rates in adults are around one fifth (19 per cent) higher now than in the early 2000s. Meanwhile, smoking rates among adults have fallen by one quarter (26%) over the same period of time.

On current projection­s, 10% of cancers in women – around 25,000 cases a year – are expected to be caused by smoking in 2035, compared to 9%, or around 23,000 cases, from being overweight or obese.

However, by the early 2040s they are projected to even out and by 2045 obesity will nudge ahead, causing more than 26,000 female cancers.

Excess weight is linked to an increased risk of 13 different types of cancer, including breast, bowel and kidney.

Among men, smoking will continue to be the leading cause of cancer but the gap is narrowing.

Around 35,000 cases of cancer will be due to smoking in 2026 compared to 15,000 linked to overweight and obesity. By 2035, smoking will be responsibl­e for around 34,000 male cancer cases, but excess weight will cause around 22,000.

Professor Linda Bauld, an expert in cancer prevention and public health based at Stirling University, said new laws are needed to make food shopping a healthier experience for families.

She said: “While the results of this study focus on the UK picture, unfortunat­ely the forecast is expected to be similar for women in Scotland.

“It’s positive the Scottish Government has signalled its intention to take action on obesity and will consult on plans to restrict an array of supermarke­t price promotions.

“Junk food multi-buy offers encourage us to bulk buy and eat large quantities of unhealthy food, the consequenc­es of which have become all too obvious in the nation’s growing waistlines.”

The Scottish Government has outlined plans to restrict the promotion and marketing of junk foods including confection­ery, biscuits, crisps, cakes, and sugary soft drinks.

It would ban retailers from offering multibuy deals, meal deals, and unlimited refill deals including these items, and target food venues such as restaurant­s, takeaways and cinemas by requiring them to display calorie informatio­n on menus and potentiall­y restrictin­g the portion sizes they can sell.

Opponents have warned the measures would “punish” small businesses and make food shopping more expensive for the poorest consumers.

Public Health Minister Joe Fitzpatric­k said: “This autumn we will consult on world-leading measures to restrict promotions of junk food where they are sold, such as multi-buys, which encourage overconsum­ption. Consumer spending on price promotions in the UK is the highest in Europe, so it is right we take action.”

Junk food multi-buy offers encourage us to bulk buy and eat large quantities of unhealthy food

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