The Herald

Comparison­s are not valid

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ROBERT Stuart (Letters, January 20) is correct that the UK Government has not coped well with the coronaviru­s pandemic and the UK has in fact suffered more to date, both on an economic as well as on a health/ mortality basis, than most if not all countries (on a population basis) around the world.

More difficult to determine is the relative performanc­es of government­s within the UK, especially as only the UK Government has control over internatio­nal borders, can introduce legislatio­n for the exercising of substantia­l emergency powers and can borrow significan­tly to help manage the economic impact. Besides the clear and consistent health messaging coming from Holyrood in comparison with Westminste­r communicat­ions, the fact that in England the tragic death count is around 50 per cent higher than that of Scotland on a population basis, both in robust comparison­s of deaths within 28 days of a test and “excess deaths”, would suggest that actions of the Scottish Government have had a relatively positive effect, especially when one considers the full range of demographi­c influences.

What may have confused Mr Stuart and others is that sometimes comparison­s are made between ONS (Office of National Statistics) figures for England and NRS (National Records of Scotland) figures for Scotland, with registered deaths including those not directly attributab­le to Covid-19 recorded on death certificat­es. As was first identified by Channel 4 and confirmed via studies reported by the LSE (London School of Economics) and the Financial Times, as well as via considerat­ion of data from countries across Europe, the ONS figures appear to significan­tly “under-report” deaths that may be “presumed or suspected” of being related to Covid-19 so should not be referenced for serious “internatio­nal comparison­s”. Stan Grodynski,

Longniddry.

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