The Herald

PM’S ‘fantasy’ Northern Ireland bridge would cost up to £330bn, study finds

- By David Bol

BORIS Johnson’s plan for a fixed link between Scotland and Northern Ireland has been exposed as an impossibly expensive fantasy by an official study into the idea.

Despite initial estimates that a tunnel or bridge could cost £20billion, experts said the final cost could be more than £300bn and it could take 30 years to build.

The HS2 rail project is estimated to cost £100bn.

Sir Peter Hendy was commission­ed by the UK Government to assess the feasibilit­y of constructi­ng a fixed transport link between Northern Ireland and Great Britain as part of his Union Connectivi­ty review.

But the official study has concluded that to construct either a tunnel or a bridge between the two countries would be “impossible to justify” due to the extortiona­te costs involved.

The research found a bridge, or tunnel, would be the longest structure of its kind ever built.

Sir Peter said: “The indicative cost estimate for the full route, including optimism bias, is £335bn for a bridge crossing and £209bn for a tunnel crossing.

“Planning, design, parliament­ary and legal processes, and constructi­on would take nearly 30 years before the crossing could become operationa­l, even given a smooth passage of funding and authority to proceed.”

Sir Peter said that “future transport technologi­cal advances” including autonomous vehicles could mean a link could be brought forward “at a lower cost”.

But he added: “For now, though, the benefits could not possibly outweigh the costs to the public purse.

“It is therefore my recommenda­tion to Government that further work on the fixed link should not progress beyond this feasibilit­y study.”

The report also said Beaufort’s Dyke – an underwater trench on the most direct route between Scotland and Northern Ireland – would need to be “carefully surveyed” due to a million tons of unexploded munitions being dumped there between the First World War and the 1970s.

A bridge would need a “sacrificia­l outer layer” enabling its main structure to survive a “local detonation”, the study said.

SNP transport spokespers­on, Gavin Newlands, said: “From the outset, Boris Johnson’s plans for a bridge between Scotland and Northern Ireland were fantasy – and this report shows that the £20 billion figure the UK Government said it would cost was a fantasy too.

“The whole project lays bare the incompeten­ce of the UK Government and how out of touch with Scotland it is.

“However, the £20 billion the bridge was originally reported to cost and which his government did not dispute when he was touting it – over £3,600 per person in Scotland – should be handed over to the Scottish Government to be used to meet Scotland’s priorities and transport needs.”

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