The Herald

Conservati­ve support falls to all-time low with Sunak’s rating ‘historical­ly poor’

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SUPPORT for the Conservati­ves has reached a record low as the party’s polling numbers continue to fall.

A poll for Ipsos UK published yesterday revealed the party recording its lowest ever score since the market research company started its regular voting survey in 1978, with just 19% saying they would back the Tories.

The figure is even lower than the 20% recorded for the Conservati­ves by Ipsos last month, and three points lower than the previous nadir of 22% recorded by John Major in May 1995, two years before Tony Blair’s landslide General Election victory.

There was further bad news for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak personally, with his own satisfacti­on rating falling to -59, level with Ipsos’s all-time record low for a premier, also set by John Major, in 1994, and only one point above the -60 recorded by Jeremy Corbyn in September 2019.

Just 16% of people said they are satisfied with the job Mr Sunak is doing as prime minister, with 75% saying they are dissatisfi­ed.

Gideon Skinner, head of political research for Ipsos, described Mr Sunak’s ratings as “historical­ly poor”.

He said: “Being in the company of John Major and Jeremy Corbyn before they lost elections does not bode well, while, although it’s not unusual for a prime minister to be seen as out of touch, Rishi Sunak is also falling further behind on aspects such as being a capable leader.”

Despite Mr Sunak’s ratings, the public is divided on whether the Conservati­ves should change leader, with 37% saying they should do so and 33% saying they should not.

It is also far from clear whether a new leader would improve the Conservati­ves’ position, with the poll suggesting none of the potential replacemen­ts would perform much better in a head-to-head contest with Sir Keir Starmer.

Only Penny Mordaunt did slightly better than Mr Sunak on the question of who would be a more capable prime minister, but she still trailed Sir Keir on this measure by 17 points.

However, the Labour leader’s ratings have also dropped, with satisfacti­on falling from 29% in February to 25% and dissatisfa­ction up by one point to 56%.

Mr Skinner said: “Keir Starmer is not building up a reserve of enthusiasm for his leadership, which could create problems further down the line. In fact, his own ratings are also slipping, and are some way behind the most popular opposition leaders, even while Labour keeps its lead in the polls.”

On the question of when the General Election should take place, slightly more than half of the public want it before the end of summer, with 42% saying it should occur before the end of June and another 10% saying it be in July or August.

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