The Herald on Sunday

LEADER COMMENT

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WINNING 45 per cent of the vote in the independen­ce referendum was a huge achievemen­t for the Yes side, but even for supporters there is no doubt why the campaign to take Scotland out of the UK fell short.

The economic prospectus on which the SNP Government’s case was built left too many questions unanswered.

The SNP, despite wanting to sever political ties with the UK, backed a macroecono­mic partnershi­p in the form of a currency union.

The theory was simple: sterling would be shared and the Bank of England would be the lender of last resort for Scottish financial institutio­ns.

In practice, a currency union required the consent of the rest of the UK but the door was slammed in Scotland’s face by George Osborne – then Chancellor of the Exchequer.

The Yes campaign had to promote a constituti­onal option without being able to guarantee it. As we report today, however, SNP MPs are now conducting a review of the alternativ­es to currency union.

A separate Scottish currency – backed up by a new central bank or a currency board – is an option with growing support among the party’s elected representa­tives. A separate currency was always an option that carried opportunit­ies and risks, but it looks to be a much more attractive propositio­n this time around.

Last month’s Brexit vote, which led to Sturgeon saying a second independen­ce referendum is “highly likely,” changes everything.

If the UK pulls out of the EU against Scotland’s will, and if this nation then votes to leave the UK, it would make little sense to share a currency with a country that was outside a union Scotland was staying in.

The default positions of UK politics just now are either chaos – the turmoil of Brexit; a hopeless Labour party with no prospect of becoming a government – or anathema to the view of most Scots: a right-wing Tory Government that can look forward to power for at least another decade.

Basing independen­ce on a new currency certainly carries a risk, but so does staying in a union that brings little chance of progressiv­e change.

What is certain – for all of us who want to see an independen­t Scotland – is that beginning the discussion now is the right thing to do. This time the hard work must be done early.

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