The Independent

How African nations could become solar superpower­s


Climate optimism? There’s not much of that to be had right now. But with the United Nations Cop27 climate conference under way, here’s a little from Carbon Tracker, a think tank concerned with energy transition. A report – African Sun: Why Solar Not Gas Offers Continent the Best Economic Opportunit­y

in the Transition – states: “The energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables is inevitable and irreversib­le.” Good news, then.

Perhaps the only service that Vladimir Putin has performed for the world is to accelerate it, with European nations cutting ties and looking for alternativ­es having recognised that Russia cannot be relied upon to supply their energy needs. In the interim, they are seeking alternativ­e sources of supply, including from Africa. But that creates a problem, which the report highlights: “Gas-producing African nations (e.g. Nigeria, Algeria, Egypt) are falsely relying on gaining economic and financial wealth from a fossil sector that countries in the global north (ie Europe) have already committed to reducing – and now ever more quickly.”

In response to the illegal Russian invasion of Ukraine, Europe increased its 2030 renewable energy target pledge from 22 per cent to 45 per cent. Europe’s move from fossil fuels to clean energy is very welcome and a sign of that irreversib­le transition in action. The sting in the tail is that Africa’s current commitment to build up its gas network, with the hope of expanding its export market more to Europe, will inevitably be undermined by a decline in gas demand in future as new sources of clean energy are brought onstream.

The current high wholesale prices will not stay that way if demand from high energy users falls through their increasing utilisatio­n of clean energy. African investment­s in gas thus run the risk of becoming white elephants. The global south once against gets stiffed. Isn’t that always the way?

It needn’t be like that. The report indeed cites this as a risk. It also highlights the privations suffered by African nations without access to their own gas, which will be exposed to a double hit of volume risk and severe impact on affordabil­ity for their power systems from volatile prices. A focus on solar could radically change the calculus, insulating them from this sort of shock.

Renewable energy, particular­ly from solar, provides a potentiall­y vast new alternativ­e, zero-emission energy system that could be deployed across Africa with potentiall­y far less technical complexity than currently required to extract fossil fuels. “Transition­ing to solar also creates far more energy certainty because it reduces the risk of being reliant on importing from energy-producing nations, especially in times of conflict,” the report notes.

Africa has more solar potential than any other continent, with the possible exception of Australasi­a, yet it currently represents only 2 per cent of the global utility-scale solar electricit­y generation. Sceptics may raise the threat of risks to agricultur­al production and land from solar farms on a continent in which hunger is an ever-present threat to a substantia­l part of the population. But that need not be so. The report uses South Africa as a case study. There rooftop panels alone “could create an installed capacity of 72GW” per the Council for Scientific

Renewable energy, particular­ly from solar, provides a potentiall­y vast new alternativ­e, zero-emission energy system that could be deployed across Africa

and Industrial Research (CSIR). “Even if ground-mounted solar farms are considered, the CSIR study estimated that up to 220GW of capacity could be installed in ‘Energy Environmen­tal Assessment’ areas,” it says. These would amount to just 0.5 per cent of the country’s land mass. Food production therefore need not be impacted.

The tragedy is that South Africa is cited as having an overrelian­ce on coal for electricit­y generation even though new solar is already cheaper and costs continue to fall. Meanwhile, the report warns that the “vision to expand natural gas production” by gas producers “will leave it (Africa) financiall­y stranded”.

Solar could become Africa’s long-term energy backbone, while offering the potential for the export of excess capacity. This would, obviously, be particular­ly beneficial to states without access to hydrocarbo­ns, which have been suffering from the impact of the war in Ukraine. But it is a potential across-theboard win. It just requires policy support. Also investment, both in terms of private capital, the cost of which has fallen, and from wealthier countries.

Much has been discussed about the debt owed by the north to the south in terms of energy transition and climate change. It’s been a theme of the UN Cop conference. Grants to facilitate the creation of new solar superpower­s would be a fine way of paying some of it down.

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 ?? (AP) ?? With the right investment, so l ar may one day be the continent’s l ong - term energy backbone
(AP) With the right investment, so l ar may one day be the continent’s l ong - term energy backbone

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