The Mail on Sunday

Hedge funds smoke out Imperial over vaping woes

- jamie.nimmo@mailonsund­ay.co.uk

THE crackdown on vaping in America couldn’t have come at a worse time for Imperial Brands. Fresh from a profit warning, the company is rudderless, having just parted ways with chief executive Alison Cooper.

It is also battling falling sales in traditiona­l tobacco products, while struggling to grow its vaping business amid increasing scrutiny of e-cigarettes.

Last week, Altria, the US maker of Marlboro cigarettes, wrote down the value of its vaping business Juul Labs by a huge £3.5 billion, less than a year after it bought a 35 per cent stake. Imperial’s annual results on Tuesday are likely to echo concerns around vaping.

UBS analysts reckon the company will report a 2.3 per cent fall in operating profits for its tobacco and vaping products. Others think a dividend cut may be on the cards.

Last week, the first major short-sellers emerged in Imperial as hedge fund Marshall Wace took out a bet against the shares worth £80 million. A dividend cut this week would see the shares – down nearly 30 per cent this year – run out of even more puff. If that happens, the hedgies will be quids in.

A TRADING update from housebuild­er Persimmon will provide a timely update on the state of the property market ahead of the Election.

Both t he Tori es and Labour are likely to make housing a key issue in their campaigns (behind Brexit, of course).

The test for analysts is whether the firm can build as many homes as expected – and this update will provide an idea (most predict a fall of around 4.9 per cent this year). Still reeling from an image problem, the firm is also likely to give an update on any improvemen­t in its customer satisfacti­on score.

MORE bad news for the retail sector is expected this week when store giants Marks & Spencer and Sainsbury’s unveil their interim results.

Sainsbury’s is Britain’s second-largest retailer, but investment bank Jefferies warns its larger rival Tesco has smartened its offering and also said Sainsbury’s has become increasing­ly exposed as discounter­s Aldi and Lidl encroach on its heartland in the South East. That will mean a fall of about 17 per cent in underlying profits, or about £50 million, Jefferies said.

Meanwhile, M&S is forecast to unveil an underlying profits fall of up to 25 per cent.

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