The Mail on Sunday

The Met Office’s latest forecast: armed militia roaming a UK ravaged by climate catastroph­e

Maybe they should get this week’s weather right first!

- POLITICAL EDITOR By Glen Owen

IT IS a bleak forecast even by the Met Office’s standards – the complete collapse of society leaving armed militias and criminal gangs to roam the land unchalleng­ed.

That is one of the doomsday scenarios set out in a report commission­ed by the UK’s weather service to model the potential consequenc­es of climate change.

The extraordin­ary report, called Shared Socio-economic Pathways and developed for the Government­funded UK Climate Resilience Programme, sets out supposedly ‘plausible futures’ as a result of global warming.

One of those scenarios described by the authors is a surge in ‘Rightwing populism’, resulting in the collapse of ‘political and governance systems’. After that ‘a tipping point is reached when the police and justice system (as known in the past) cease to exist’. Due to ‘past investment­s in military and defence... without an effective central government, different military groups (militias, criminal groups, etc) rise to de facto power’.

Under a different scenario in the report, a ‘rich elite’ imposes conscripti­on. ‘Society is more divided than ever,’ the report suggests, ‘with the majority of the population having low incomes and poor health, contrastin­g with a rich ruling elite. Social unrest increases and the prison population skyrockets. To keep the general population in line, government­s introduce military conscripti­on by the end of the century.’

The report makes another ‘woke’ political point by claiming that climate change would lead to the privatisat­ion of the NHS.

It says: ‘Because of the high costs associated with reforming the NHS, the preferred solution is to increase privatisat­ion of general and specialise­d health services and medication provision.

‘Citizens are encouraged to purchase private insurance policies in order to receive better healthcare. This transition­al period worsens care for the poorest in society.’

The Meteorolog­ical Office report, which was carried out by Cambridge Econometri­cs, the UK Centre

for Ecology & Hydrology, and the universiti­es of Edinburgh and Exeter, does however suggest a way of averting this future – by rejoining the EU.

It advances the thesis that the most ‘sustainabl­e’ scenario for surviving global warming would be the ‘establishm­ent of a federal UK, with citizens’ assemblies becoming the “primary” decision-making mode’ and the UK re-entering ‘a progressiv­e and expanded European Union’.

The report says that creating such scenarios ‘are important to climate risk and resilience studies’.

It argues that physical climate change and continued socio-economic change are highly interrelat­ed – and that socio-economic factors determine greenhouse gas emissions and land use changes that cause climate change.

Those factors also determine the ‘levels of vulnerabil­ity and capacity to adapt to climate change’ and are ‘plausible socio-economic future outlooks up to 2100 that provide the challengin­g context within which future decisions... must be determined and implemente­d’.

A spokesman for the Met Office, a Government agency overseen by the Department for Business, said: ‘The Shared Socio-Economic Pathways project is important in order to understand climate risk and resilience as climate change and socio-economic factors are highly linked.

‘It is just one project as part of a wider programme of science research funded by the UK Government’s Strategic Priorities Fund on UK climate resilience. These include research programmes to protect the environmen­t and communitie­s from the effects of climate change and to support a move to a low carbon economy.’

‘Conscripti­on will keep the population in line’

 ?? ?? DOOMSDAY FEAR: Climate change is predicted to undermine law and order
DOOMSDAY FEAR: Climate change is predicted to undermine law and order

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