The National (Scotland)

Massive poll predicts winner of every Scots seat at next UK election

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A MASSIVE new poll has predicted the results of every seat in Scotland at the next General Election.

The poll predicted that, in Scotland, the SNP are not set to win a majority of seats and will trail behind Labour.

In the next General Election, Scotland will return 57 MPs – not 59 – due to boundary changes.

In Scotland, the YouGov survey predicted that the SNP would win 19 seats, Labour would win 28 seats, and the Tories and the LibDems would each return five MPs.

Meanwhile, the YouGov survey of more than 18,000 people found that Keir Starmer’s Labour Party would be in for a landslide election victory similar to that won by Tony Blair in 1997.

The Conservati­ve Party is predicted to face a dire result, returning just 155 MPs, according to the poll.

The YouGov analysis uses the multi-level regression and post st ratificati­on( MR P) method of polling.

The news came just days after a separate MRP by the polling firm Survation suggested the SNP would win 41 Scottish seats.

Across the UK as a whole, the YouGov survey predicted that Labour would win 403 seats; the Tories would win 155 seats; the LibDems would return 49 MPs; the SNP would return 19 MPs; Plaid Cymru would win four seats; the Greens would win one seat and Reform UK would come second in 36 constituen­cies, but not win any.

The model is based on vote intention data collected and analysed by YouGov from 18,761 British adults interviewe­d from March 7-27.

The YouGov analysis found that prominent Tory figures including Jeremy Hunt, Penny Mordaunt, Iain Duncan Smith, and Jacob Rees-Mogg would be on course to lose their seats.

You can find the full tables for the whole of Britain on the YouGov website.

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